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Legia vs H. Beer Sheva

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Ganah A. C.
60' Event
Zjawinski L.
66' Event
Zjawinski L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Legia and H. Beer Sheva finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Legia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Legia
30%
Draws
31%
H. Beer Sheva
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Legia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Legia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Legia Clean Sheet 17%
H. Beer Sheva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legia H. Beer Sheva
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 15
Draws 9 5
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 1.8 1.72
Goals Conceded 1 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 Club Friendly
Legia vs H. Beer Sheva
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legia Compare

Top Goalscorer Zjawinski L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wszolek P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

H. Beer Sheva Compare

Top Goalscorer Ganah A. C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legia 30 / 100
H. Beer Sheva 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legia H. Beer Sheva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Legia scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: H. Beer Sheva conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Legia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Legia VS H. Beer Sheva
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Legia

(Home)
26 Sept
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 4
Legia
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Legia
13 Sept
Legia
1 : 1
Widzew Lodz
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3
Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0
Legia
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H. Beer Sheva

(Away)
19 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 0
Shmona
16 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
0 : 0
Din. Zagreb
13 Sept
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0 : 2
H. Beer Sheva
07 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 4
Maccabi Tel Aviv
02 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
2 : 2
Hapoel Haifa
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