Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Legia vs Radomiak Radom

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Stadion Wojska Polskiego, Warsaw
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Sevcik M.
Assist: Wszolek P.
9'
Ouattara Z.
10' Event
Augustyniak R.

AI Match Summary

Legia in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Legia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Legia
20%
Draws
33%
Radomiak Radom
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Legia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Legia lately — more wins on the board than Radomiak Radom.
  • Model gives Legia a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Legia Clean Sheet 20%
Radomiak Radom Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legia Radomiak Radom
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 18 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 1.8 1.14
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Legia vs Radomiak Radom
5:0
Jul 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Legia vs Radomiak Radom
3:1
Mar 13, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Radomiak Radom vs Legia
1:1
Sep 14, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Legia vs Radomiak Radom
4:1
Feb 22, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Radomiak Radom vs Legia
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legia Compare

Top Goalscorer Kapustka B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sevcik M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Radomiak Radom Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legia 85 / 100
Radomiak Radom 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legia Radomiak Radom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 8:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legia's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Radomiak Radom conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Legia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Legia VS Radomiak Radom
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Legia

(Home)
26 Sept
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
2 : 4
Legia
20 Sept
Jagiellonia
1 : 3
Legia
13 Sept
Legia
1 : 1
Widzew Lodz
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3
Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0
Legia
Page 1 of 6

Radomiak Radom

(Away)
20 Sept
Lech Poznan
5 : 1
Radomiak Radom
14 Sept
Radomiak Radom
0 : 2
Piast Gliwice
05 Sept
Widzew Lodz
0 : 0
Radomiak Radom
01 Sept
Korona Kielce II
0 : 1
Radomiak Radom
29 Aug
Radomiak Radom
2 : 1
Cracovia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 9 7 1 1 16:8 22
2 Legia 9 5 4 0 19:8 19
3 Lech Poznan 8 6 1 1 17:7 19
4 Wisla 9 5 2 2 17:12 17
5 Pogon Szczecin 8 4 3 1 12:6 15
6 Korona Kielce 9 4 3 2 12:10 15
7 Zaglebie 9 4 3 2 11:10 15
8 Piast Gliwice 9 4 1 4 16:15 13
9 GKS Katowice 8 4 0 4 16:13 12
10 Jagiellonia 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
11 Wisla Plock 8 3 2 3 9:12 11
12 Widzew Lodz 9 1 6 2 13:13 9
13 Cracovia 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
14 Radomiak Radom 9 2 2 5 7:20 8
15 Slask Wroclaw 9 1 3 5 11:15 6
16 Motor Lublin 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
17 KS Wieczysta Krakow 8 1 2 5 11:17 5
18 Rakow Czestochowa 9 1 0 8 12:21 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)