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Legiao U20 vs Real Brasilia U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Legiao U20 play Real Brasilia U20 in the Brasiliense U20 2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Legiao U20 averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. Real Brasilia U20 averaged 2.34 goals scored and 0.89 conceded. In past meetings, Legiao U20 won 0, Real Brasilia U20 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 10, 2023 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Legiao U20 and 2.00 for Real Brasilia U20. This points to a Real Brasilia U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Legiao U20
15%
Draws
52%
Real Brasilia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Brasilia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Legiao U20 picked up more points recently compared to Real Brasilia U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 2.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 67%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%
Legiao U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Real Brasilia U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legiao U20 Real Brasilia U20
Matches Played 33 35
Wins 13 21
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.97 2.34
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2023 Brasiliense U20
Legiao U20 vs Real Brasilia U20
0:1
Jun 21, 2022 Brasiliense U20
Real Brasilia U20 vs Legiao U20
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legiao U20 32 / 100
Real Brasilia U20 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legiao U20 Real Brasilia U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Real Brasilia U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.9%
1.64
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Legiao U20 attacking → ← attacking Real Brasilia U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legiao U20 scored in 73% of their last 33 games.

Real Brasilia U20 let in goals in 51% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Legiao U20 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Real Brasilia U20 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 68
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 3.25
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brasiliense U20862025:420
2Canaa U20862020:620
3Luziania U20861118:819
4ARUC U20840414:1112
5Gremio Valparaiso U20840412:1312
6Botafogo DF U20830515:229
7Samambaia U2081256:135
8Brasilia U2081255:205
9Ceilandense U2080176:241
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Capital DF U20852112:717
2Gama U20842214:414
3Santa Maria U20842215:914
4Brazlandia U20842210:714
5Paranoa U20833212:612
6Real Brasilia U20825115:611
7Planaltina U20824216:1210
8Legiao U2082068:186
9Samambaense U2080084:370