Sport Picks

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Legiao vs Botafogo DF

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Legiao in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2012 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Legiao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Legiao
30%
Draws
0%
Botafogo DF
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Legiao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Legiao have won more games recently than Botafogo DF.
  • Model gives Legiao a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Campeonato Brasiliense 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Legiao have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Legiao Clean Sheet 15%
Botafogo DF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legiao Botafogo DF
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 10 5
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.32 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2024 Brasiliense 2
Legiao vs Botafogo DF
4:0
Apr 13, 2013 Brasiliense
Botafogo DF vs Legiao
2:2
Apr 29, 2012 Brasiliense
Legiao vs Botafogo DF
4:1
Mar 9, 2008 Brasiliense
Botafogo DF vs Legiao
0:2
Jan 20, 2008 Brasiliense
Legiao vs Botafogo DF
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legiao 84 / 100
Botafogo DF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legiao Botafogo DF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legiao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Botafogo DF conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Botafogo DF's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Legiao scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Legiao VS Botafogo DF
0.38 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Legiao

(Home)
26 Sept
Legiao
3 : 3
Gremio Valparaiso
19 Sept
Candango
0 : 2
Legiao
12 Sept
Legiao
0 : 0
Luziania
29 Aug
Canaa EC
1 : 1
Legiao
08 Mar
Real Brasilia
2 : 1
Legiao
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Botafogo DF

(Away)
02 Oct
Luziania
7 : 0
Botafogo DF
29 Sept
Riacho City
3 : 2
Botafogo DF
23 Sept
Botafogo DF
0 : 1
Gremio Valparaiso
19 Sept
Taguatinga
4 : 0
Botafogo DF
14 Sept
Botafogo DF
1 : 9
Sobradinho
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sobradinho 5 4 1 0 14:5 13
2 Legiao 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
3 Brasiliense 5 2 1 2 11:6 7
4 Luziania 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
5 Real Brasilia 5 1 1 3 5:17 4
6 Botafogo DF 5 1 0 4 8:15 3
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2012 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceilandia 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Capital 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
3 Ceilandense 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
4 Gama 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
5 Brazlandia 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
6 Bosque Formosa 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2012 (Second stage - Play Offs)