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Legiao vs Ceilandense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ceilandense in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ceilandense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Legiao
35%
Draws
20%
Ceilandense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Legiao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Legiao have won more games recently than Ceilandense.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Legiao taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Legiao Clean Sheet 14%
Ceilandense Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legiao Ceilandense
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 4
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 21
Goals Scored 1.28 0.65
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Brasiliense
Legiao vs Ceilandense
1:1
Feb 27, 2014 Brasiliense
Legiao vs Ceilandense
1:2
Feb 7, 2013 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Legiao
2:2
Mar 4, 2012 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Legiao
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legiao 84 / 100
Ceilandense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legiao Ceilandense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legiao Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legiao has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Legiao scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Ceilandense has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Legiao VS Ceilandense
0.38 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.71
88% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Legiao

(Home)
03 Oct
Planaltina
2 : 3
Legiao
26 Sept
Legiao
3 : 3
Gremio Valparaiso
19 Sept
Candango
0 : 2
Legiao
12 Sept
Legiao
0 : 0
Luziania
29 Aug
Canaa EC
1 : 1
Legiao
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Ceilandense

(Away)
08 Mar
Ceilandense
1 : 3
Sobradinho
22 Feb
Samambaia
0 : 1
Ceilandense
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
12 Feb
Ceilandense
3 : 4
Paranoa
09 Feb
Brasiliense
2 : 0
Ceilandense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luziania 11 7 2 2 11:5 23
2 Brasiliense 11 6 5 0 14:4 23
3 Brasilia FC (DF) 11 5 5 1 14:9 20
4 Sobradinho 11 6 1 4 22:12 19
5 Gama 11 4 3 4 11:9 15
6 Ceilandia 11 4 3 4 13:12 15
7 Unai EC 11 4 2 5 10:12 14
8 Santa Maria 11 4 2 5 9:11 14
9 Bosque Formosa 11 4 1 6 16:21 13
10 Ceilandense 11 3 2 6 9:18 11
11 Capital 11 2 2 7 8:15 8
12 Legiao 11 1 4 6 10:19 7
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2014 (Play Offs)