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Legiao vs Ceilandense

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2014
Legiao Logo

Legiao

1 - 2
FT
Ceilandense Logo

Ceilandense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ceilandense in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2014 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ceilandense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Legiao
20%
Draws
64%
Ceilandense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ceilandense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / Medium Confidence
  • Legiao have won more games recently than Ceilandense.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Ceilandense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Legiao Clean Sheet 16%
Ceilandense Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legiao Ceilandense
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 7 5
Draws 8 6
Losses 18 22
Goals Scored 0.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Brasiliense
Legiao vs Ceilandense
1:1
Feb 27, 2014 Brasiliense
Legiao vs Ceilandense
1:2
Feb 7, 2013 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Legiao
2:2
Mar 4, 2012 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Legiao
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legiao 28 / 100
Ceilandense 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legiao Ceilandense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Legiao scored in 64% of their last 33 outings.

Ceilandense has conceded goals in 76% of their last 33 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Ceilandense has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Legiao VS Ceilandense
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Legiao

(Home)
08 Mar
Real Brasilia
2 : 1
Legiao
23 Feb
Sobradinho
2 : 0
Legiao
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
13 Feb
Legiao
1 : 2
Ceilandia
09 Feb
Capital
1 : 0
Legiao
Page 1 of 7

Ceilandense

(Away)
08 Mar
Ceilandense
1 : 3
Sobradinho
22 Feb
Samambaia
0 : 1
Ceilandense
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
12 Feb
Ceilandense
3 : 4
Paranoa
09 Feb
Brasiliense
2 : 0
Ceilandense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luziania 11 7 2 2 11:5 23
2 Brasiliense 11 6 5 0 14:4 23
3 Brasilia FC (DF) 11 5 5 1 14:9 20
4 Sobradinho 11 6 1 4 22:12 19
5 Gama 11 4 3 4 11:9 15
6 Ceilandia 11 4 3 4 13:12 15
7 Unai EC 11 4 2 5 10:12 14
8 Santa Maria 11 4 2 5 9:11 14
9 Bosque Formosa 11 4 1 6 16:21 13
10 Ceilandense 11 3 2 6 9:18 11
11 Capital 11 2 2 7 8:15 8
12 Legiao 11 1 4 6 10:19 7
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2014 (Play Offs)