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Legiao vs SESP Brasilia

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

86' Event
Regino Sousa

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense 2 2024 game between Legiao and SESP Brasilia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SESP Brasilia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Legiao
11%
Draws
80%
SESP Brasilia
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: SESP Brasilia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • SESP Brasilia haven't matched Legiao's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans SESP Brasilia's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Brasiliense 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Legiao Clean Sheet 19%
SESP Brasilia Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legiao SESP Brasilia
Matches Played 32 9
Wins 7 4
Draws 8 2
Losses 17 3
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2024 Brasiliense 2
Legiao vs SESP Brasilia
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legiao Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

SESP Brasilia Compare

Top Goalscorer Regino Sousa
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legiao 12 / 100
SESP Brasilia 76 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legiao SESP Brasilia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SES Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Legiao scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

SESP Brasilia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 44% of 9 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Legiao remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Legiao VS SESP Brasilia
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 67%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Taguatinga752022:217
2Sobradinho743029:515
3SESP Brasilia742110:214
4Legiao741216:313
5Luziania730417:89
6Gremio Valparaiso73048:219
7Riacho City71066:403
8Botafogo DF70073:300