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Legion vs Johvi Phoenix

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Legion host Johvi Phoenix in the Esiliiga B. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Johvi Phoenix have shipped 2.38 goals a game lately, while Legion have conceded 4.63 and scored 1.38. Past meetings favor Johvi Phoenix slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 18, 2026, ending 6:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 3.69) point toward Johvi Phoenix. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Legion
6%
Draws
90%
Johvi Phoenix
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Johvi Phoenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Johvi Phoenix have won more games recently than Legion.
  • Win probability leans Johvi Phoenix's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Johvi Phoenix have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Legion Clean Sheet 10%
Johvi Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legion Johvi Phoenix
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 4 16
Draws 1 3
Losses 23 12
Goals Scored 1.38 2.75
Goals Conceded 4.63 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.63 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Legion
6:1
Apr 27, 2026 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Legion
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Legion
6:1
Aug 23, 2025 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Johvi Phoenix
2:3
May 25, 2025 Esiliiga B
Johvi Phoenix vs Legion
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legion 10 / 100
Johvi Phoenix 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legion Johvi Phoenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JOH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Johvi Phoenix let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Legion's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Legion stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Legion VS Johvi Phoenix
1.38 Goals Scored 2.75
4.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Legion

(Home)
18 Jul
Legion
2 : 0
Tabasalu
12 Jul
Tartu Kalev
10 : 2
Legion
05 Jul
Legion
2 : 3
Tallinna Kalev U21
22 Jun
Legion
1 : 4
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
18 Jun
Johvi Phoenix
6 : 1
Legion
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Johvi Phoenix

(Away)
25 Jul
Tulevik
0 : 0
Johvi Phoenix
22 Jul
Johvi Phoenix
8 : 1
FC Hell Hunt
12 Jul
Johvi Phoenix
4 : 2
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
04 Jul
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tartu Kalev
22 Jun
Levadia U19
2 : 0
Johvi Phoenix
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tammeka Tartu U2120132559:4141
2Johvi Phoenix20112749:4735
3Narva U2119112648:2935
4Tulevik20112755:3935
5Parnu JK Vaprus U2120102857:4632
6Levadia U1920102848:3932
7Tartu Kalev20911054:4228
8Tabasalu20901133:5227
9Tallinna Kalev U2120421442:5114
10Legion19311518:7710
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)