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Legion vs Laanemaa Haapsalu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2025 Sportland Arena, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Jakovenko A.
32' Event
Vasilenko D.
34'
Nosach C.

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2025 game between Legion and Laanemaa Haapsalu finished 5-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Legion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Legion
15%
Draws
0%
Laanemaa Haapsalu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Legion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Laanemaa Haapsalu haven't matched Legion's recent run of results.
  • Legion are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Esiliiga B 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
  • Legion have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Legion Clean Sheet 10%
Laanemaa Haapsalu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legion Laanemaa Haapsalu
Matches Played 35 30
Wins 8 3
Draws 3 1
Losses 24 26
Goals Scored 1.31 0.9
Goals Conceded 3.29 4.2
Expected Goals (xG) 3.63 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Laanemaa Haapsalu
5:4
Jul 26, 2025 Esiliiga B
Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Legion
0:4
May 29, 2025 Esiliiga B
Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Legion
1:3
Mar 15, 2025 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Laanemaa Haapsalu
2:2
Nov 3, 2024 Esiliiga B
Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Legion
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakovenko A.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Vasilenko D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.79
Avg xA / game 1.81

Laanemaa Haapsalu Compare

Top Goalscorer Viispert A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Veski S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legion 65 / 100
Laanemaa Haapsalu 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legion Laanemaa Haapsalu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Laanemaa Haapsalu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Laanemaa Haapsalu has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Legion's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Legion VS Laanemaa Haapsalu
1.25 Goals Scored 0
3.63 Goals Conceded 6
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Legion

(Home)
03 Oct
Legion
0 : 3
Levadia U19
26 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Narva U21
18 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 : 0
Legion
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
10 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Tartu Kalev
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Laanemaa Haapsalu

(Away)
22 Jul
Laanemaa Haapsalu
0 : 6
Elva
09 Nov
Legion
5 : 4
Laanemaa Haapsalu
01 Nov
Laanemaa Haapsalu
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21
26 Oct
Tartu Kalev
10 : 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu
23 Oct
Narva U21
5 : 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 28 5 3 116:39 89
2 Nomme Utd U21 36 23 3 10 93:53 72
3 Johvi Phoenix 36 21 5 10 95:61 68
4 Narva U21 36 21 3 12 87:53 66
5 Tartu Kalev 36 19 4 13 81:53 61
6 Tabasalu 36 13 8 15 60:67 47
7 Legion 36 13 5 18 66:94 44
8 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 11 8 17 65:71 41
9 Kuressaare U21 36 6 1 29 40:105 19
10 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 3 2 31 33:140 11
Promotion - Esiliiga (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2025 (Relegation)