Sport Picks

Estonia

Esiliiga B 2025 Sportland Arena

Legion

5 - 4

Laanemaa Haapsalu

Our Tip

Match Events

Jakovenko A.

32'

Vasilenko D.

34'

Nosach C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga B 2025 game between Legion and Laanemaa Haapsalu finished 5-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Legion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Legion

39%

Draws

31%

Laanemaa Haapsalu

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Laanemaa Haapsalu haven't matched Legion's recent run of results.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Esiliiga B 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Legion have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Legion Clean Sheet 12%

Laanemaa Haapsalu Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Legion	Laanemaa Haapsalu
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	6	3
Draws	1	1
Losses	24	25
Goals Scored	0.75	0
Goals Conceded	2.5	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 9, 2025 Esiliiga B

Legion vs Laanemaa Haapsalu

Possession: 59% - 59% Cards: 1 - 0

5:4

Jul 26, 2025 Esiliiga B

Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Legion

Possession: 51% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

0:4

May 29, 2025 Esiliiga B

Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Legion

Possession: 41% - 43% Cards: 3 - 1

1:3

Mar 15, 2025 Esiliiga B

Legion vs Laanemaa Haapsalu

Possession: 51% - 60% Cards: 3 - 3

2:2

Nov 3, 2024 Esiliiga B

Laanemaa Haapsalu vs Legion

Possession: 47% - 55% Cards: 4 - 3

1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakovenko A.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Vasilenko D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Laanemaa Haapsalu Compare

Top Goalscorer Viispert A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Veski S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legion 29 / 100

Laanemaa Haapsalu 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Legion Laanemaa Haapsalu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEG Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 3:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Laanemaa Haapsalu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.60 goals when they meet.

Legion found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Laanemaa Haapsalu's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Legion VS Laanemaa Haapsalu

0.75 Goals Scored 0

2.5 Goals Conceded 0

88% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Maardu Linnameeskond	36	28	5	3	116:39	89
2	Nomme Utd U21	36	23	3	10	93:53	72
3	Johvi Phoenix	36	21	5	10	95:61	68
4	Narva U21	36	21	3	12	87:53	66
5	Tartu Kalev	36	19	4	13	81:53	61
6	Tabasalu	36	13	8	15	60:67	47
7	Legion	36	13	5	18	66:94	44
8	Paide Linnameeskond U21	36	11	8	17	65:71	41
9	Kuressaare U21	36	6	1	29	40:105	19
10	Laanemaa Haapsalu	36	3	2	31	33:140	11