Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Legion vs Paide Linnameeskond U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2025 Sportland Arena, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Jakovenko A.
18'
Sub
Visman L. In: Nosach C.
Out: Visman L.
40'
Zutsenja E.

AI Match Summary

Legion in this Esiliiga B 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Legion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Legion
15%
Draws
76%
Paide Linnameeskond U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Paide Linnameeskond U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Paide Linnameeskond U21 lately — more wins on the board than Legion.
  • Win probability leans Paide Linnameeskond U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Legion Clean Sheet 10%
Paide Linnameeskond U21 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legion Paide Linnameeskond U21
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 6 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 25 13
Goals Scored 1.14 1.81
Goals Conceded 3.51 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 27, 2025 Esiliiga B
Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Legion
7:2
Aug 10, 2025 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Paide Linnameeskond U21
3:2
Jun 19, 2025 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Paide Linnameeskond U21
2:2
Mar 8, 2025 Esiliiga B
Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Legion
2:4
Oct 7, 2023 Esiliiga
Legion vs Paide Linnameeskond U21
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakovenko A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kolodchuk M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Paide Linnameeskond U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lehtmaa H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Murulaid R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legion 10 / 100
Paide Linnameeskond U21 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legion Paide Linnameeskond U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Paide Linnameeskond U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Paide Linnameeskond U21 has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Legion scored in 60% of their last 35 games.

Legion has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Legion VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
4.63 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Legion

(Home)
18 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 : 0
Legion
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
10 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Tartu Kalev
05 Sept
Tulevik
3 : 0
Legion
30 Aug
Legion
1 : 5
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
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Paide Linnameeskond U21

(Away)
21 Feb
Paide Linnameeskond U21
0 : 1
Valmiera
22 Nov
Paide Linnameeskond U21
3 : 2
Tulevik
15 Nov
Tulevik
5 : 1
Paide Linnameeskond U21
09 Nov
Paide Linnameeskond U21
2 : 0
Johvi Phoenix
01 Nov
Laanemaa Haapsalu
1 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond U21
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maardu Linnameeskond 36 28 5 3 116:39 89
2 Nomme Utd U21 36 23 3 10 93:53 72
3 Johvi Phoenix 36 21 5 10 95:61 68
4 Narva U21 36 21 3 12 87:53 66
5 Tartu Kalev 36 19 4 13 81:53 61
6 Tabasalu 36 13 8 15 60:67 47
7 Legion 36 13 5 18 66:94 44
8 Paide Linnameeskond U21 36 11 8 17 65:71 41
9 Kuressaare U21 36 6 1 29 40:105 19
10 Laanemaa Haapsalu 36 3 2 31 33:140 11
Promotion - Esiliiga (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga 2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B 2025 (Relegation)