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Legion vs Tabasalu

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Grankin N.
50' Event
Grankin N.

AI Match Summary

Legion in this Esiliiga B matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Legion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Legion
20%
Draws
64%
Tabasalu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tabasalu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Tabasalu have won more games recently than Legion.
  • 64% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Esiliiga B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Legion Clean Sheet 11%
Tabasalu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legion Tabasalu
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 3 11
Draws 3 3
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 0.9 1.71
Goals Conceded 3.62 2.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Legion
1:1
Jul 18, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Tabasalu
2:0
May 27, 2026 Esiliiga B
Tabasalu vs Legion
2:3
Apr 24, 2026 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Tabasalu
3:2
Oct 18, 2025 Esiliiga B
Legion vs Tabasalu
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legion Compare

Top Goalscorer Grankin N.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Tabasalu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legion 30 / 100
Tabasalu 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legion Tabasalu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tabasalu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tabasalu conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Tabasalu registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Legion scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Legion VS Tabasalu
0.75 Goals Scored 1
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Legion

(Home)
26 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Narva U21
18 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus U21
12 : 0
Legion
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
10 Sept
Legion
1 : 2
Tartu Kalev
05 Sept
Tulevik
3 : 0
Legion
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Tabasalu

(Away)
19 Sept
Johvi Phoenix
3 : 2
Tabasalu
14 Sept
Tabasalu
1 : 1
Legion
11 Sept
Tallinna Kalev U21
4 : 1
Tabasalu
05 Sept
Tabasalu
3 : 2
Tammeka Tartu U21
29 Aug
Narva U21
4 : 0
Tabasalu
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Narva U21 30 20 3 7 71:36 63
2 Levadia U19 30 18 2 10 75:52 56
3 Johvi Phoenix 30 17 3 10 71:68 54
4 Tammeka Tartu U21 30 15 4 11 74:60 49
5 Tulevik 30 14 5 11 80:61 47
6 Tartu Kalev 30 15 2 13 72:58 47
7 Parnu JK Vaprus U21 30 14 4 12 95:62 46
8 Tabasalu 30 10 3 17 44:81 33
9 Tallinna Kalev U21 30 7 5 18 60:77 26
10 Legion 30 3 3 24 26:113 12
Promotion - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Esiliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga B (Relegation)