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Legionowo vs GKS Belchatow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Laski A.
21' Event
Golanski A.
47' Event
Mitura S.

AI Match Summary

GKS Belchatow in this III Liga - Group I 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored GKS Belchatow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Legionowo
30%
Draws
41%
GKS Belchatow
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: GKS Belchatow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to GKS Belchatow lately — more wins on the board than Legionowo.
  • Model gives GKS Belchatow a 41% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Legionowo Clean Sheet 19%
GKS Belchatow Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legionowo GKS Belchatow
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.27 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Legionowo vs GKS Belchatow
2:3
Oct 22, 2023 III Liga - Group I
GKS Belchatow vs Legionowo
6:0
Apr 7, 2018 Division 2
Legionowo vs GKS Belchatow
2:2
Sep 9, 2017 Division 2
GKS Belchatow vs Legionowo
1:1
Apr 29, 2017 Division 2
GKS Belchatow vs Legionowo
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legionowo Compare

Top Goalscorer Mitura S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gorski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

GKS Belchatow Compare

Top Goalscorer Laski A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Golanski A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legionowo 20 / 100
GKS Belchatow 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legionowo GKS Belchatow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GKS Belchatow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GKS Belchatow has conceded goals in 88% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Legionowo found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Legionowo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS GKS Belchatow
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Legionowo

(Home)
22 Feb
Pelikan
3 : 1
Legionowo
08 Feb
Legionowo
3 : 2
Wilga Garwolin
05 Jun
Legionowo
2 : 2
Bron Radom
02 Jun
Pelikan
2 : 1
Legionowo
25 May
Legionowo
0 : 0
Legia II
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GKS Belchatow

(Away)
31 Jul
GKS Belchatow
3 : 2
Gornik Konin
22 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 4
RKS Rakow Czestochowa II
18 Jul
GKS Belchatow
4 : 1
Tluchowo
11 Jul
GKS Belchatow
1 : 2
Polonia Nysa
30 May
Plock II
4 : 1
GKS Belchatow
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 34 23 7 4 106:32 76
2 Unia Skierniewice 34 19 8 7 78:46 65
3 Legia II 34 19 8 7 70:40 65
4 Swit Mazowiecki 34 15 11 8 70:52 56
5 GKS Belchatow 34 16 8 10 58:49 56
6 Tomaszow Mazowiecki 34 15 8 11 66:54 53
7 Pelikan 34 15 7 12 52:40 52
8 LKS Lomza 34 14 6 14 52:51 48
9 Bron Radom 34 12 12 10 39:43 48
10 Warta Sieradz 34 13 5 16 43:48 44
11 GKS Wikielec 34 11 10 13 37:46 43
12 MKS Mlawa 34 11 9 14 43:50 42
13 Jagiellonia II 34 12 6 16 48:58 42
14 Victoria Sulejowek 34 11 8 15 41:48 41
15 Olimpia Zambrow 34 10 10 14 52:48 40
16 Concordia Elblag 34 8 6 20 37:98 30
17 Legionowo 34 7 6 21 41:71 27
18 Pilica Bialobrzegi 34 4 7 23 30:89 19
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Main)