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Legnago Salus vs Lucchese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2024/2025 Mario Sandrini, Legnago
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Magnaghi S.
33'
Catanese G.
36'
Sub
Diaby A. In: Casarotti E.
Out: Diaby A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B 2024/2025 game between Legnago Salus and Lucchese finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Legnago Salus
20%
Draws
52%
Lucchese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lucchese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Lucchese's 1.76 goals per match outpaces what Legnago Salus have produced (1.72).
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Lucchese taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Legnago Salus Clean Sheet 10%
Lucchese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legnago Salus Lucchese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.72 1.76
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Legnago Salus vs Lucchese
1:1
Nov 9, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Lucchese vs Legnago Salus
1:1
Aug 21, 2021 Coppa Italia Serie C
Legnago Salus vs Lucchese
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legnago Salus Compare

Top Goalscorer Ampollini F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Lucchese Compare

Top Goalscorer Magnaghi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legnago Salus 10 / 100
Lucchese 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legnago Salus Lucchese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lucchese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legnago Salus's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Lucchese conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Solid form: Legnago Salus remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Legnago Salus VS Lucchese
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Legnago Salus

(Home)
04 Oct
Legnago Salus
0 : 2
Bassano Virtus
27 Sept
Campodarsego
0 : 1
Legnago Salus
20 Sept
Legnago Salus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
16 Sept
Altavilla
2 : 3
Legnago Salus
12 Sept
Legnago Salus
1 : 1
Calcio San Dona
Page 1 of 6

Lucchese

(Away)
07 Oct
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 2
Lucchese
04 Oct
Grassina
3 : 6
Lucchese
27 Sept
Lucchese
3 : 2
Siena
20 Sept
Rondinella
0 : 0
Lucchese
16 Sept
Lucchese
5 : 0
SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Entella 38 23 14 1 61:24 83
2 Ternana 38 22 10 6 64:23 74
3 Sassari Torres 38 19 11 8 55:36 68
4 Pescara 38 19 10 9 55:35 67
5 Arezzo 38 19 7 12 48:37 64
6 Vis Pesaro 38 15 13 10 44:34 58
7 Pineto 38 15 12 11 46:49 57
8 Pianese 38 15 8 15 48:48 53
9 Rimini 38 13 14 11 45:35 51
10 US Pontedera 38 13 9 16 54:54 48
11 Gubbio 38 13 9 16 32:42 48
12 Perugia 38 11 14 13 43:41 47
13 Carpi 38 11 11 16 41:48 44
14 Campobasso 38 11 10 17 36:46 43
15 Ascoli 38 9 13 16 37:46 40
16 Lucchese 38 10 15 13 47:64 39
17 Spal 38 9 11 18 41:61 35
18 AC Milan U23 38 7 13 18 36:57 34
19 Sestri Levante 38 6 13 19 34:54 31
20 Legnago Salus 38 6 11 21 30:63 29
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)