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Legnano vs Castanese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Banfi S.
90' Event
Pagani V.

AI Match Summary

Legnano in this Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Legnano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Legnano
35%
Draws
13%
Castanese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Legnano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Legnano lately — more wins on the board than Castanese.
  • 52% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Legnano Clean Sheet 68%
Castanese Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Legnano Castanese
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 7 11
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.91 1
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Legnano vs Castanese
2:0
Oct 2, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Castanese vs Legnano
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Legnano Compare

Top Goalscorer Banfi S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pagani V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Castanese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Legnano 41 / 100
Castanese 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Legnano Castanese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legnano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castanese has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Legnano's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Legnano has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Legnano VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Legnano

(Home)
12 May
Legnano
0 : 5
Castellanzese
05 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 3
Legnano
28 Apr
Legnano
3 : 1
USD Casatese
21 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 1
Legnano
14 Apr
Legnano
1 : 1
Varesina
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Castanese

(Away)
14 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 0
Castanese
07 May
Ligorna
2 : 1
Castanese
30 Apr
Castanese
1 : 1
Stresa Vergante
23 Apr
Vado
2 : 0
Castanese
16 Apr
Castanese
3 : 3
AC Chieri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sestri Levante 38 30 4 4 77:29 94
2 Sanremese 38 21 11 6 59:33 74
3 Bra 38 21 11 6 59:31 74
4 Vado 38 19 12 7 61:40 69
5 Ligorna 38 17 15 6 50:36 66
6 Legnano 38 17 9 12 53:35 60
7 Asti Calcio 38 13 18 7 44:35 57
8 Gozzano 38 16 7 15 51:48 55
9 Borgosesia Calcio 38 14 10 14 54:54 52
10 PDHA 38 12 11 15 33:43 47
11 Castellanzese 38 11 13 14 51:55 46
12 AC Chieri 38 10 15 13 41:45 45
13 Fezzanese 38 11 12 15 47:58 45
14 Chisola 38 11 10 17 43:53 43
15 Pinerolo 38 8 18 12 38:44 42
16 Derthona FbC 38 9 15 14 55:62 42
17 Castanese 38 9 12 17 43:57 39
18 Stresa Vergante 38 7 13 18 37:47 34
19 Casale 38 5 9 24 28:79 24
20 Fossano 38 1 11 26 40:80 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Out)