Sport Picks
Match Events
57'
57'
Todaj V.
63'
63'
Todaj V.
66'
66'
Isella M.
AI Match Summary
Legnano in this Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Legnano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Legnano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to USD Casatese lately — more wins on the board than Legnano.
- Model gives Legnano a 36% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Legnano Clean Sheet 20%
USD Casatese Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Legnano | USD Casatese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.27 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 28, 2024 Serie D - Group B
Legnano vs USD Casatese
3:1
Dec 16, 2023 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Legnano
1:1
May 29, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Legnano vs USD Casatese
1:4
Feb 27, 2022 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Legnano
2:0
Oct 20, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Legnano vs USD Casatese
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Legnano Compare
Top Goalscorer Todaj V.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46
USD Casatese Compare
Top Goalscorer Isella M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Legnano 36 / 100
USD Casatese 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Legnano USD Casatese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Legnano scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Legnano has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
USD Casatese let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS USD Casatese
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Legnano
(Home) 12 May
Legnano
0 : 5 Castellanzese
05 May
Ciserano-Bergamo
1 : 3 Legnano
28 Apr
Legnano
3 : 1 USD Casatese
21 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 1 Legnano
14 Apr
Legnano
1 : 1 Varesina
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12 May
Legnano
0 : 5 Castellanzese
28 Apr
Legnano
3 : 1 USD Casatese
14 Apr
Legnano
1 : 1 Varesina
28 Mar
Legnano
1 : 0 Brusaporto
17 Mar
Legnano
1 : 0 Ponte San Pietro
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USD Casatese
(Away) 12 Sept
Solbiatese
0 : 0 USD Casatese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1 Arconatese
23 Aug
Piacenza
2 : 1 USD Casatese
17 May
USD Casatese
2 : 3 Chievo
10 May
USD Casatese
4 : 0 AC Leon
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12 Sept
Solbiatese
0 : 0 USD Casatese
23 Aug
Piacenza
2 : 1 USD Casatese
26 Apr
Scanzorosciate
0 : 3 USD Casatese
11 Apr
Vogherese
0 : 4 USD Casatese
29 Mar
Villa Valle
0 : 1 USD Casatese
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caldiero Terme | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 55:32 | 77 |
| 2 | Piacenza | 38 | 22 | 8 | 8 | 69:35 | 74 |
| 3 | Pro Palazzolo | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 49:26 | 73 |
| 4 | Desenzano Calvina | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 51:28 | 69 |
| 5 | Varesina | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 73:49 | 68 |
| 6 | Arconatese | 38 | 21 | 5 | 12 | 58:38 | 68 |
| 7 | Brusaporto | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 55:54 | 54 |
| 8 | Clivense | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 38:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Villa Valle | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 50:44 | 53 |
| 10 | Folgore Caratese | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | 51 |
| 11 | USD Casatese | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 53:53 | 51 |
| 12 | Caravaggio | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 44:51 | 46 |
| 13 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 49:58 | 45 |
| 14 | Club Milano | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:44 | 45 |
| 15 | Real Calepina | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 38:47 | 44 |
| 16 | Legnano | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 34:50 | 42 |
| 17 | Castellanzese | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 36:51 | 39 |
| 18 | Crema | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 25:48 | 36 |
| 19 | Tritium | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 27:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Ponte San Pietro | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31:63 | 24 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)
