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Leher vs ESC Geestemunde

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bremen
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bremen game between Leher and ESC Geestemunde finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Leher
20%
Draws
51%
ESC Geestemunde
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ESC Geestemunde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ESC Geestemunde come out ahead of Leher on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on ESC Geestemunde taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Leher Clean Sheet 10%
ESC Geestemunde Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leher ESC Geestemunde
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.78 2.27
Goals Conceded 2.16 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
Leher vs ESC Geestemunde
2:2
Mar 22, 2026 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs Leher
3:5
Sep 26, 2025 Oberliga Bremen
Leher vs ESC Geestemunde
0:0
Feb 4, 2024 Oberliga Bremen
ESC Geestemunde vs Leher
3:1
Aug 16, 2023 Oberliga Bremen
Leher vs ESC Geestemunde
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leher 14 / 100
ESC Geestemunde 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leher ESC Geestemunde

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESC Geestemunde Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

ESC Geestemunde's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Leher scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Leher has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leher VS ESC Geestemunde
1 Goals Scored 2.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Leher

(Home)
18 Sept
Leher
2 : 2
ESC Geestemunde
12 Sept
Blumenthaler
6 : 0
Leher
04 Sept
Leher
4 : 0
Vatan Bremen
28 Aug
OSC Bremerhaven
3 : 0
Leher
21 Aug
Leher
1 : 2
Aumund-Vegesack
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ESC Geestemunde

(Away)
18 Sept
Leher
2 : 2
ESC Geestemunde
13 Sept
ESC Geestemunde
4 : 3
Grohn
05 Sept
BTS Neustadt
1 : 0
ESC Geestemunde
28 Aug
ESC Geestemunde
5 : 2
Werder Bremen III
23 Aug
Schwachhausen
3 : 2
ESC Geestemunde
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hemelingen 8 7 1 0 31:3 22
2 Blumenthaler 8 7 0 1 31:8 21
3 Brinkumer 8 7 0 1 28:7 21
4 OSC Bremerhaven 8 6 1 1 33:6 19
5 Aumund-Vegesack 8 4 1 3 22:16 13
6 Union 60 Bremen 8 3 3 2 17:15 12
7 Eiche Horn 8 3 3 2 8:12 12
8 Vatan Bremen 8 3 1 4 19:18 10
9 Grohn 8 3 1 4 13:22 10
10 Schwachhausen 8 3 1 4 10:19 10
11 BTS Neustadt 8 3 0 5 14:21 9
12 ESC Geestemunde 8 2 2 4 18:28 8
13 Leher 8 1 2 5 8:17 5
14 Werder Bremen III 8 1 1 6 12:24 4
15 Woltmershausen 8 1 1 6 10:32 4
16 Oberneuland 8 0 2 6 7:33 2
Promotion - Oberliga Hamburg (Promotion)