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Leicester U18 vs Carlisle U18

England England

FA Youth Cup 2016/2017
Leicester U18 Logo

Leicester U18

2 - 1
FT
Carlisle U18 Logo

Carlisle U18

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Leicester U18 in this FA Youth Cup 2016/2017 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Leicester U18
25%
Draws
35%
Carlisle U18
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Leicester U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Leicester U18 have won more games recently than Carlisle U18.
  • 35% — that's where the model lands on Carlisle U18 taking it.
  • Leicester U18 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Leicester U18, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Leicester U18 Clean Sheet 17%
Carlisle U18 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leicester U18 Carlisle U18
Matches Played 31 1
Wins 10 0
Draws 8 0
Losses 13 1
Goals Scored 1.61 1
Goals Conceded 2 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2017 FA Youth Cup
Leicester U18 vs Carlisle U18
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leicester U18 12 / 100
Carlisle U18 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leicester U18 Carlisle U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Carlisle U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leicester U18 scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

Carlisle U18 let in goals in 100% of their last 1 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Leicester U18 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leicester U18 VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leicester U18

(Home)
19 Sept
Leicester U18
2 : 2
Stoke City U18
12 Sept
Leeds U18
3 : 1
Leicester U18
05 Sept
Leicester U18
1 : 4
Newcastle Utd U18
15 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
2 : 2
Leicester U18
09 May
Chelsea U18
5 : 0
Leicester U18
Page 1 of 7

Carlisle U18

(Away)
18 Jan
Leicester U18
2 : 1
Carlisle U18

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Blackburn U18 0
Aston Villa U18 1
FC Broxbourne Borough U18 1
Yeovil U18 0
Manchester City U18 3
Liverpool U18 1
Wigan U18 1
Southampton U18 2
Preston U18 1
Everton U18 0
AFC Wimbledon U18 3
Hull U18 0
Stoke City U18 4
Nottingham U18 1
Brighton U18 2
Cambridge Utd U18 0
Sunderland U18 3
Shrewsbury U18 1
Newcastle Utd U18 3
Swansea U18 1
QPR U18 1
Tottenham U18 4
Burnley U18 0
Norwich U18 4
Middlesbrough U18 2
Fulham U18 1
Leicester U18 2
Carlisle U18 1
Birmingham U18 0
Chelsea U18 5
Sheffield Wed U18 3
Gillingham U18 0
1/8-finals
Aston Villa U18 7
FC Broxbourne Borough U18 0
Manchester City U18 4
Southampton U18 0
Preston U18 3
AFC Wimbledon U18 2
Stoke City U18 3
Brighton U18 2
Sunderland U18 3
Newcastle Utd U18 4
Tottenham U18 2
Norwich U18 0
Middlesbrough U18 0
Leicester U18 1
Chelsea U18 4
Sheffield Wed U18 0
Quarter-finals
Aston Villa U18 1
Manchester City U18 2
Preston U18 1
Stoke City U18 3
Newcastle Utd U18 3
Tottenham U18 5
Leicester U18 0
Chelsea U18 1
Semi-finals
Manchester City U18 9
Stoke City U18 2
Tottenham U18 2
Chelsea U18 9
Final
Manchester City U18 2
Chelsea U18 6