Sport Picks

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Leicester U18 vs Crewe U18

England England

FA Youth Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leicester U18 in this FA Youth Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Leicester U18
20%
Draws
48%
Crewe U18
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Crewe U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Leicester U18 have won more games recently than Crewe U18.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Leicester U18 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Leicester U18, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Leicester U18 Clean Sheet 17%
Crewe U18 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leicester U18 Crewe U18
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.68 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2022 FA Youth Cup
Leicester U18 vs Crewe U18
1:0
Jan 15, 2019 FA Youth Cup
Leicester U18 vs Crewe U18
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leicester U18 36 / 100
Crewe U18 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leicester U18 Crewe U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crewe U18 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leicester U18's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Crewe U18 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Crewe U18's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Leicester U18 VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leicester U18

(Home)
12 Sept
Leeds U18
3 : 1
Leicester U18
05 Sept
Leicester U18
1 : 4
Newcastle Utd U18
15 Aug
Middlesbrough U18
2 : 2
Leicester U18
09 May
Chelsea U18
5 : 0
Leicester U18
02 May
Leicester U18
1 : 1
Arsenal U18
Page 1 of 7

Crewe U18

(Away)
16 Jan
Watford U18
4 : 1
Crewe U18
14 Jan
Leicester U18
1 : 0
Crewe U18
15 Jan
Leicester U18
4 : 0
Crewe U18
02 Mar
Manchester City U18
6 : 1
Crewe U18
27 Jan
Arsenal U18
2 : 3
Crewe U18
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Oxford Utd U18 0
Bournemouth U18 3
Aston Villa U18 4
Reading U18 1
Derby U18 3
Sheffield Utd U18 0
Manchester City U18 4
Nottingham U18 1
Arsenal U18 5
Tottenham U18 2
West Brom U18 5
QPR U18 1
Stoke City U18 2
Everton U18 3
Manchester United U18 1
Brighton U18 3
Preston U18 3
Norwich U18 0
Peterborough U18 0
Bury U18 1
Liverpool U18 4
Accrington U18 0
Hull U18 2
Wigan U18 6
Crystal Palace U18 2
Bolton U18 4
Leicester U18 4
Crewe U18 0
Watford U18 2
Southampton U18 1
Gillingham U18 1
Ipswich U18 2
1/8-finals
Bournemouth U18 2
Aston Villa U18 0
Derby U18 1
Manchester City U18 2
Arsenal U18 1
West Brom U18 2
Everton U18 2
Brighton U18 0
Preston U18 0
Bury U18 2
Liverpool U18 2
Wigan U18 0
Bolton U18 0
Leicester U18 3
Watford U18 4
Ipswich U18 1
Quarter-finals
Bournemouth U18 1
Manchester City U18 4
West Brom U18 4
Everton U18 3
Bury U18 1
Liverpool U18 5
Leicester U18 1
Watford U18 2
Semi-finals
Manchester City U18 4
West Brom U18 2
Liverpool U18 2
Watford U18 1
Final
Manchester City U18 1
Liverpool U18 2