Sport Picks
Leicester U21 vs Aston Villa U21
England
Premier League 2 LCFC Training Ground, Seagrave 
Match Events
25'
25'
Burrowes B.
Assist: Lynch L.
30'
30'
McWilliams A.
42'
42'
Toko M.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2 game between Leicester U21 and Aston Villa U21 finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aston Villa U21.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aston Villa U21
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Aston Villa U21 come out ahead of Leicester U21 on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Leicester U21 Clean Sheet 12%
Aston Villa U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leicester U21 | Aston Villa U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 1.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 20, 2026 Premier League 2
Leicester U21 vs Aston Villa U21
2:3
Nov 1, 2024 Premier League 2
Leicester U21 vs Aston Villa U21
3:1
Mar 15, 2024 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U21 vs Leicester U21
2:2
Mar 10, 2014 Premier League U21
Aston Villa U21 vs Leicester U21
3:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leicester U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Briggs L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Donnelly R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13
Aston Villa U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Burrowes B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Carroll T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leicester U21 29 / 100
Aston Villa U21 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leicester U21 Aston Villa U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LEI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Leicester U21 scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.
Aston Villa U21 let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
Solid form: Leicester U21 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Leicester U21 VS Aston Villa U21
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Leicester U21
(Home) 24 Apr
Tottenham U21
1 : 0 Leicester U21
13 Apr
Leeds U21
2 : 3 Leicester U21
20 Mar
Leicester U21
2 : 3 Aston Villa U21
13 Mar
Arsenal U21
1 : 5 Leicester U21
09 Mar
Leicester U21
2 : 2 Newcastle Utd U21
Page 1 of 7
20 Mar
Leicester U21
2 : 3 Aston Villa U21
09 Mar
Leicester U21
2 : 2 Newcastle Utd U21
23 Feb
Leicester U21
1 : 4 Manchester United U21
09 Feb
Leicester U21
2 : 1 Norwich U21
26 Jan
Leicester U21
1 : 2 Chelsea U21
Page 1 of 4
Aston Villa U21
(Away) 01 Aug
Shrewsbury
3 : 2 Aston Villa U21
21 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 2 Aston Villa U21
01 May
Aston Villa U21
2 : 3 Manchester City U21
24 Apr
Southampton U21
3 : 4 Aston Villa U21
17 Apr
Stoke City U21
0 : 1 Aston Villa U21
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Shrewsbury
3 : 2 Aston Villa U21
21 Jul
Tamworth
1 : 2 Aston Villa U21
24 Apr
Southampton U21
3 : 4 Aston Villa U21
17 Apr
Stoke City U21
0 : 1 Aston Villa U21
06 Apr
Blackburn U21
1 : 2 Aston Villa U21
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelsea U21 | 20 | 14 | 1 | 5 | 52:25 | 43 |
| 2 | Manchester United U21 | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 43:26 | 43 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 20 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 59:21 | 40 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 48:32 | 38 |
| 5 | Ipswich U21 | 20 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 45:45 | 38 |
| 6 | Southampton U21 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 36:29 | 36 |
| 7 | Liverpool U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 49:36 | 35 |
| 8 | Tottenham U21 | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 42:32 | 35 |
| 9 | Leicester U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 48:42 | 31 |
| 10 | Crystal Palace U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 36:31 | 31 |
| 11 | Aston Villa U21 | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 32:35 | 31 |
| 12 | Brighton U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 38:25 | 30 |
| 13 | West Ham U21 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 44:35 | 30 |
| 14 | Arsenal U21 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 15 | Sunderland U21 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 41:40 | 28 |
| 16 | Middlesbrough U21 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 37:28 | 27 |
| 17 | Nottingham U21 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 23:23 | 26 |
| 18 | Everton U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33:36 | 25 |
| 19 | Reading U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:36 | 25 |
| 20 | Stoke City U21 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 29:42 | 25 |
| 21 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 30:35 | 24 |
| 22 | Wolves U21 | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 30:45 | 23 |
| 23 | Norwich U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 32:42 | 20 |
| 24 | Derby U21 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26:44 | 20 |
| 25 | Leeds U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 28:40 | 18 |
| 26 | West Brom U21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 26:41 | 18 |
| 27 | Birmingham U21 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 26:52 | 17 |
| 28 | Blackburn U21 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 27:46 | 14 |
| 29 | Burnley U21 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 22:42 | 13 |
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