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Leicester U23 vs Exeter U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2018/2019
Our Tip

Match Events

71' Event
Seymour B.
(Penalty)
83' Event
Dewsbury-Hall K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League Cup 2018/2019 tie, finishing 1-1. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Leicester U23
15%
Draws
26%
Exeter U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leicester U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Exeter U23 have won more games recently than Leicester U23.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Exeter U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Leicester U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Exeter U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leicester U23 Exeter U23
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 11 9
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.41 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.65 1.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2019 Premier League Cup
Exeter U23 vs Leicester U23
1:1
Jan 16, 2019 Premier League Cup
Leicester U23 vs Exeter U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leicester U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dewsbury-Hall K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.27
Avg xA / game 0.82

Exeter U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.03

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leicester U23 29 / 100
Exeter U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leicester U23 Exeter U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leicester U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leicester U23 scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Defensive concern: Exeter U23 conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Leicester U23 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leicester U23 VS Exeter U23
1.63 Goals Scored 1.33
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.67
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Leicester U23

(Home)
02 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 2
Leicester U23
25 Apr
Leicester U23
0 : 4
Liverpool U23
18 Apr
Leicester U23
4 : 1
Blackburn U23
15 Apr
Leicester U23
2 : 1
Derby U23
04 Apr
Leicester U23
3 : 2
Manchester United U23
Page 1 of 7

Exeter U23

(Away)
22 Feb
Wolves U23
0 : 2
Exeter U23
18 Jan
Exeter U23
0 : 3
West Ham U23
14 Jan
Swansea U23
2 : 2
Exeter U23
13 Oct
West Ham U23
3 : 2
Exeter U23
15 Sept
Exeter U23
2 : 3
Wolves U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stoke City U23 6 4 1 1 17:8 13
2 Sunderland U23 6 4 0 2 18:13 12
3 Peterborough U23 6 2 0 4 11:18 6
4 Charlton U23 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Everton U23 6 4 2 0 11:5 14
2 Blackburn U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
4 Doncaster U23 6 0 1 5 6:20 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burnley U23 6 2 3 1 9:12 9
2 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 13:10 8
3 Liverpool U23 6 1 4 1 5:4 7
4 West Brom U23 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nottingham U23 6 5 1 0 17:6 16
2 Leicester U23 6 1 3 2 8:8 6
3 Exeter U23 6 1 3 2 7:11 6
4 Norwich U23 6 0 3 3 5:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Swansea U23 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
3 Oxford Utd U23 6 2 1 3 6:7 7
4 Hull City U23 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 4 1 1 18:4 13
2 Aston Villa U23 6 4 0 2 15:6 12
3 Plymouth U23 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
4 Bristol City U23 6 0 2 4 4:25 2
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reading U23 6 4 1 1 15:7 13
2 Fulham U23 6 4 0 2 16:5 12
3 Birmingham U23 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
4 Colchester U23 6 0 0 6 3:24 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Leeds U23 6 4 0 2 14:8 12
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 2 1 11:7 11
3 Southampton U23 6 3 1 2 18:10 10
4 Notts County U23 6 0 1 5 6:24 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2018/2019 (Play Offs)