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Leicester U23 vs Manchester United U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 LCFC Training Ground, Seagrave
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Brunt L.
(Penalty)
19'
Wormleighton J.
22'
Mejbri H.

AI Match Summary

Leicester U23 in this Premier League 2 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leicester U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Leicester U23
15%
Draws
37%
Manchester United U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leicester U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Manchester United U23 have won more games recently than Leicester U23.
  • Leicester U23 are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Leicester U23 Clean Sheet 13%
Manchester United U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leicester U23 Manchester United U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2022 Premier League 2
Leicester U23 vs Manchester United U23
3:2
Aug 15, 2021 Premier League 2
Manchester United U23 vs Leicester U23
2:2
Jan 18, 2021 Premier League 2
Leicester U23 vs Manchester United U23
4:2
Sep 14, 2020 Premier League 2
Manchester United U23 vs Leicester U23
0:2
Dec 18, 2017 Premier League 2
Manchester United U23 vs Leicester U23
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leicester U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcal W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Braybrooke S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Manchester United U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mellor D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leicester U23 40 / 100
Manchester United U23 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leicester U23 Manchester United U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Manchester United U23 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Attacking prowess: Leicester U23 scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Leicester U23 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leicester U23 VS Manchester United U23
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leicester U23

(Home)
02 May
Crystal Palace U23
3 : 2
Leicester U23
25 Apr
Leicester U23
0 : 4
Liverpool U23
18 Apr
Leicester U23
4 : 1
Blackburn U23
15 Apr
Leicester U23
2 : 1
Derby U23
04 Apr
Leicester U23
3 : 2
Manchester United U23
Page 1 of 6

Manchester United U23

(Away)
01 May
Liverpool U23
3 : 1
Manchester United U23
22 Apr
Manchester United U23
1 : 1
Arsenal U23
08 Apr
Manchester United U23
1 : 0
Chelsea U23
04 Apr
Leicester U23
3 : 2
Manchester United U23
18 Mar
Manchester United U23
3 : 0
Everton U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)