Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leicester vs Burton

England England

League One King Power Stadium, Leicester
Leicester Logo

Leicester

Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Burton Logo

Burton

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Leicester host Burton in the League One. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Burton have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while Leicester have conceded 1.27 and scored 1.3. Past meetings favor Leicester slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 0:3. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 0.81, favoring Leicester. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Leicester
20%
Draws
23%
Burton
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leicester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Leicester carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Leicester's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Leicester Clean Sheet 20%
Burton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leicester Burton
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 6
Draws 10 11
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.3 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Burton vs Leicester
0:3
Aug 9, 2023 EFL Cup
Burton vs Leicester
0:2
Jul 24, 2021 Club Friendly
Burton vs Leicester
1:0
Oct 29, 2019 EFL Cup
Burton vs Leicester
1:3
Aug 1, 2017 Club Friendly
Burton vs Leicester
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leicester 40 / 100
Burton 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leicester Burton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leicester Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leicester found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Burton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Leicester remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leicester VS Burton
2 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Leicester

(Home)
08 Aug
Leicester
1 : 0
Northampton
01 Aug
Leicester
0 : 1
Genoa
25 Jul
Malaga
3 : 3
Leicester
22 Jul
Cadiz
0 : 1
Leicester
18 Jul
Burton
0 : 3
Leicester
Page 1 of 6

Burton

(Away)
08 Aug
Burton
1 : 2
Blackburn
01 Aug
Burton
1 : 0
Derby
28 Jul
Solihull Moors
1 : 1
Burton
22 Jul
Burton
0 : 1
Birmingham
18 Jul
Burton
0 : 3
Leicester
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stockport County 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Reading 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Wigan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Barnsley 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Blackpool 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Leicester 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Plymouth 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Sheffield Wed 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Doncaster 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Huddersfield 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Leyton Orient 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Luton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Wycombe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Bradford City 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Mansfield 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Milton Keynes Dons 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Notts County 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 Peterborough 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
19 Burton 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
20 Cambridge Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
21 Oxford Utd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
22 Stevenage 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
23 Bromley 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
24 AFC Wimbledon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)