Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leicester vs Millwall

England England

Championship 2025/2026 King Power Stadium, Leicester
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Coburn J. In: Ivanovic M.
Out: Coburn J.
50'
Cooper J.
60'
Azeez F.

AI Match Summary

The Championship 2025/2026 game between Leicester and Millwall finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Leicester
6%
Draws
4%
Millwall
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Leicester

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Millwall come out ahead of Leicester on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Leicester's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championship 2025/2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Leicester Clean Sheet 20%
Millwall Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leicester Millwall
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 10 6
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Championship
Leicester vs Millwall
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Championship
Millwall vs Leicester
1:0
Apr 9, 2024 Championship
Millwall vs Leicester
1:0
Jan 6, 2024 FA Cup
Millwall vs Leicester
2:3
Dec 13, 2023 Championship
Leicester vs Millwall
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leicester Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Millwall Compare

Top Goalscorer Langstaff M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leicester 85 / 100
Millwall 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leicester Millwall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leicester scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Leicester went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Millwall's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Leicester VS Millwall
2 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Leicester

(Home)
25 Jul
Malaga
3 : 3
Leicester
22 Jul
Cadiz
0 : 1
Leicester
18 Jul
Burton
0 : 3
Leicester
14 Jul
Bristol Rovers
1 : 2
Leicester
11 Jul
Leicester
3 : 0
Northampton
Page 1 of 6

Millwall

(Away)
28 Jul
Bromley
1 : 1
Millwall
25 Jul
Stevenage
1 : 0
Millwall
21 Jul
Gillingham
1 : 0
Millwall
17 Jul
Eldense
1 : 2
Millwall
14 Jul
FC Andorra
2 : 1
Millwall
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coventry462811797:4595
2Ipswich462315880:4784
3Millwall4624111164:4983
4Southampton4622141082:5680
5Middlesbrough4622141072:4780
6Hull City4621101570:6673
7Wrexham4619141369:6571
8Derby462091767:5969
9Norwich461981963:5665
10Birmingham4617131657:5664
11Swansea4618101857:5964
12Bristol City4617111859:5962
13Sheffield Utd461862266:6660
14Preston4615151655:6260
15QPR4616102061:7358
16Watford4614151753:6557
17Stoke City4615102151:5655
18Portsmouth4614131949:6455
19Charlton4613141944:5853
20Blackburn4613132042:5652
21West Brom4613141948:5851
22Oxford Utd4611142145:5947
23Leicester4612161858:6846
24Sheffield Wed462123229:890
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)