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Stadium Background

Leicester vs Plymouth - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

League One King Power Stadium, Leicester
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Sub
Stolarczyk J. In: McCarthy A.
Out: Stolarczyk J.
38'
Amaechi X.
43'
Joseph J.

AI Match Summary

Leicester in this League One matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leicester.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Leicester
15%
Draws
54%
Plymouth
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Plymouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Plymouth lately — more wins on the board than Leicester.
  • Plymouth are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Leicester Clean Sheet 10%
Plymouth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leicester Plymouth
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 19
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.41 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 League One
Leicester vs Plymouth
2:0
Apr 12, 2024 Championship
Plymouth vs Leicester
1:0
Dec 9, 2023 Championship
Leicester vs Plymouth
4:0
Feb 20, 2010 Championship
Plymouth vs Leicester
1:1
Nov 21, 2009 Championship
Leicester vs Plymouth
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leicester Compare

Top Goalscorer Alves W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Howell H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Plymouth Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leicester 18 / 100
Plymouth 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leicester Plymouth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Plymouth Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leicester scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Plymouth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Leicester has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leicester VS Plymouth
1.88 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leicester

(Home)
06 Oct
Stevenage
2 : 1
Leicester
22 Sept
Leicester
6 : 1
Fulham U21
19 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 1
Leicester
12 Sept
Stockport County
3 : 4
Leicester
05 Sept
Leicester
0 : 4
Oxford Utd
Page 1 of 6

Plymouth

(Away)
06 Oct
Newport
2 : 3
Plymouth
03 Oct
Leyton Orient
0 : 2
Plymouth
26 Sept
Plymouth
0 : 1
Burton
22 Sept
Plymouth
5 : 1
Crystal Palace U21
19 Sept
Blackpool
2 : 4
Plymouth
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 9 5 1 3 16:11 16
2 Bradford City 8 5 1 2 8:5 16
3 Huddersfield 8 4 3 1 14:7 15
4 Sheffield Wed 7 4 2 1 13:6 14
5 Stockport County 8 4 1 3 17:10 13
6 Cambridge Utd 8 3 4 1 13:11 13
7 Reading 8 3 3 2 17:10 12
8 Burton 9 3 3 3 14:15 12
9 AFC Wimbledon 8 3 3 2 6:8 12
10 Oxford Utd 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
11 Leyton Orient 8 3 1 4 13:11 10
12 Wycombe 8 2 4 2 13:16 10
13 Stevenage 7 2 3 2 11:8 9
14 Leicester 7 2 3 2 9:11 9
15 Blackpool 7 2 2 3 13:13 8
16 Luton 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
17 Mansfield 7 2 2 3 10:13 8
18 Barnsley 7 2 2 3 7:12 8
19 Bromley 7 2 2 3 8:18 8
20 Notts County 7 1 4 2 7:9 7
21 Doncaster 7 1 3 3 8:9 6
22 Milton Keynes Dons 7 0 6 1 8:10 6
23 Peterborough 8 1 2 5 4:13 5
24 Wigan 7 1 1 5 5:12 4
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)