Sport Picks

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Leicester vs Swansea

England England

Championship 2025/2026 King Power Stadium, Leicester
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Vestergaard J.
53' Event
Vipotnik Z.
Assist: Eom Ji-Sung
56'
Sub
Parker S. In: Ward J.
Out: Parker S.

AI Match Summary

Swansea in this Championship 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Swansea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Leicester
20%
Draws
40%
Swansea
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Swansea have won more games recently than Leicester.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Leicester Clean Sheet 13%
Swansea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leicester Swansea
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.43 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Championship
Leicester vs Swansea
0:1
Oct 4, 2025 Championship
Swansea vs Leicester
1:3
Jan 30, 2024 Championship
Leicester vs Swansea
3:1
Oct 21, 2023 Championship
Swansea vs Leicester
1:3
Feb 3, 2018 Premier League
Leicester vs Swansea
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leicester Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Swansea Compare

Top Goalscorer Vipotnik Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leicester 30 / 100
Swansea 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leicester Swansea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leicester Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leicester's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Swansea's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Leicester has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leicester VS Swansea
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leicester

(Home)
22 Sept
Leicester
6 : 1
Fulham U21
19 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 1
Leicester
12 Sept
Stockport County
3 : 4
Leicester
05 Sept
Leicester
0 : 4
Oxford Utd
01 Sept
Leicester
2 : 0
Plymouth
Page 1 of 6

Swansea

(Away)
19 Sept
Lincoln City
1 : 2
Swansea
12 Sept
Swansea
3 : 1
Burnley
08 Sept
Southampton
3 : 1
Swansea
05 Sept
Swansea
0 : 0
Wrexham
01 Sept
Swansea
2 : 0
Watford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 97:45 95
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 80:47 84
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 64:49 83
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 82:56 80
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 72:47 80
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 70:66 73
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 69:65 71
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 67:59 69
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 63:56 65
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 57:56 64
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 57:59 64
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 59:59 62
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 66:66 60
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 55:62 60
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 61:73 58
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 53:65 57
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 51:56 55
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 49:64 55
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 44:58 53
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 42:56 52
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 48:58 51
22 Oxford Utd 46 11 14 21 45:59 47
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 58:68 46
24 Sheffield Wed 46 2 12 32 29:89 0
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Championship 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Main)