Sport Picks

England

Championship 2025/2026 King Power Stadium

Swansea

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Leicester play Swansea in the Championship 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Leicester averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.59 conceded. Swansea averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.27 conceded. In past meetings, Leicester won 3, Swansea won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 11, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Leicester and 1.31 for Swansea. This points to a Swansea double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%

Leicester

24%

Draws

44%

Swansea

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Swansea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence

Leicester picked up more points recently compared to Swansea.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 83%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%

Leicester Clean Sheet 18%

Swansea Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 75%

Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Leicester	Swansea
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	6	14
Draws	10	5
Losses	13	11
Goals Scored	1.24	1.43
Goals Conceded	1.59	1.27
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Championship

Leicester vs Swansea

Possession: 41% - 51% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Oct 4, 2025 Championship

Swansea vs Leicester

Possession: 45% - 48% Cards: 0 - 3

1:3

Jan 30, 2024 Championship

Leicester vs Swansea

Possession: 49% - 43% Cards: 4 - 4

3:1

Oct 21, 2023 Championship

Swansea vs Leicester

Possession: 42% - 50% Cards: 2 - 3

1:3

Feb 3, 2018 Premier League

Leicester vs Swansea

Possession: 42% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leicester Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Swansea Compare

Top Goalscorer Vipotnik Z.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leicester 32 / 100

Swansea 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Leicester Swansea

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Swansea or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +33.4%

4.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Leicester attacking → ← attacking Swansea

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leicester scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Swansea let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Leicester went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Swansea lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

28 Points in last 5 47

1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	46	28	11	7	97:45	95
2	Ipswich	46	23	15	8	80:47	84
3	Millwall	46	24	11	11	64:49	83
4	Southampton	46	22	14	10	82:56	80
5	Middlesbrough	46	22	14	10	72:47	80
6	Hull City	46	21	10	15	70:66	73
7	Wrexham	46	19	14	13	69:65	71
8	Derby	46	20	9	17	67:59	69
9	Norwich	46	19	8	19	63:56	65
10	Birmingham	46	17	13	16	57:56	64
11	Swansea	46	18	10	18	57:59	64
12	Bristol City	46	17	11	18	59:59	62
13	Sheffield Utd	46	18	6	22	66:66	60
14	Preston	46	15	15	16	55:62	60
15	QPR	46	16	10	20	61:73	58
16	Watford	46	14	15	17	53:65	57
17	Stoke City	46	15	10	21	51:56	55
18	Portsmouth	46	14	13	19	49:64	55
19	Charlton	46	13	14	19	44:58	53
20	Blackburn	46	13	13	20	42:56	52
21	West Brom	46	13	14	19	48:58	51
22	Oxford Utd	46	11	14	21	45:59	47
23	Leicester	46	12	16	18	58:68	46
24	Sheffield Wed	46	2	12	32	29:89	0