Sport Picks

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Leicester W vs Aston Villa W

England England

WSL 2025/2026 King Power Stadium, Leicester
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Taylor M.
38' Event
Lehmann A.
Assist: Cain H.
45'
Ale A.

AI Match Summary

Aston Villa W in this WSL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aston Villa W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Leicester W
20%
Draws
36%
Aston Villa W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leicester W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Leicester W haven't matched Aston Villa W's recent run of results.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular WSL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Leicester W Clean Sheet 16%
Aston Villa W Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leicester W Aston Villa W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 7
Draws 3 6
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 0.55 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.24 2.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 WSL
Leicester W vs Aston Villa W
1:2
Oct 12, 2025 WSL
Aston Villa W vs Leicester W
0:0
Aug 24, 2025 Club Friendly Women
Leicester W vs Aston Villa W
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 WSL
Leicester W vs Aston Villa W
3:0
Oct 13, 2024 WSL
Aston Villa W vs Leicester W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leicester W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lehmann A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Aston Villa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Patten A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hanson K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leicester W 30 / 100
Aston Villa W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leicester W Aston Villa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leicester W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aston Villa W conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Leicester W found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

Leicester W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leicester W VS Aston Villa W
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leicester W

(Home)
27 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
4 : 0
Leicester W
23 Sept
Leicester W
0 : 2
London City Lionesses W
20 Sept
Leicester W
0 : 1
Ipswich W
13 Sept
Leicester W
4 : 2
Durham W
06 Sept
Sheffield Utd W
0 : 1
Leicester W
Page 1 of 6

Aston Villa W

(Away)
27 Sept
Tottenham W
4 : 0
Aston Villa W
23 Sept
Nottingham W
0 : 2
Aston Villa W
20 Sept
Brighton W
1 : 1
Aston Villa W
13 Sept
Aston Villa W
1 : 4
Manchester City W
05 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 1
Aston Villa W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City W 22 18 1 3 62:19 55
2 Arsenal W 22 15 6 1 53:14 51
3 Chelsea W 22 15 4 3 44:20 49
4 Manchester United W 22 11 7 4 38:22 40
5 Tottenham W 22 11 3 8 35:38 36
6 London City Lionesses W 22 8 3 11 28:35 27
7 Brighton W 22 7 5 10 27:28 26
8 Everton W 22 7 2 13 25:37 23
9 Aston Villa W 22 5 5 12 28:48 20
10 West Ham W 22 5 4 13 20:45 19
11 Liverpool W 22 4 5 13 21:34 17
12 Leicester W 22 2 3 17 11:52 9
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (Qualification - Third stage)
Relegation - WSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)