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Leicester W vs Crystal Palace W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women's League Cup 2025/2026 King Power Stadium, Leicester
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Howat K.
22'
Ayane R.
26'
Sub
Ayane R. In: Cain H.
Out: Ayane R.

AI Match Summary

Crystal Palace W in this Women's League Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Leicester W
20%
Draws
58%
Crystal Palace W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Crystal Palace W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crystal Palace W lately — more wins on the board than Leicester W.
  • 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Crystal Palace W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Crystal Palace W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Leicester W Clean Sheet 10%
Crystal Palace W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leicester W Crystal Palace W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 5 18
Draws 3 5
Losses 23 7
Goals Scored 0.71 1.7
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2025 Women's League Cup
Leicester W vs Crystal Palace W
0:3
May 4, 2025 WSL
Crystal Palace W vs Leicester W
2:2
Oct 6, 2024 WSL
Leicester W vs Crystal Palace W
0:2
Feb 28, 2021 WSL 2
Leicester W vs Crystal Palace W
1:0
Jan 14, 2021 Women's League Cup
Crystal Palace W vs Leicester W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leicester W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Crystal Palace W Compare

Top Goalscorer Howat K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vanhaevermaet J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leicester W 34 / 100
Crystal Palace W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leicester W Crystal Palace W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crystal Palace W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crystal Palace W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Leicester W's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Solid form: Leicester W remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Leicester W VS Crystal Palace W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leicester W

(Home)
04 Oct
Sunderland W
3 : 1
Leicester W
27 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
4 : 0
Leicester W
23 Sept
Leicester W
0 : 2
London City Lionesses W
20 Sept
Leicester W
0 : 1
Ipswich W
13 Sept
Leicester W
4 : 2
Durham W
Page 1 of 7

Crystal Palace W

(Away)
04 Oct
Aston Villa W
1 : 1
Crystal Palace W
30 Sept
Crystal Palace W
3 : 0
Charlton W
27 Sept
Birmingham W
3 : 3
Crystal Palace W
23 Sept
Crystal Palace W
1 : 0
Watford W
20 Sept
Crystal Palace W
0 : 7
Tottenham W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City W 3 3 0 0 8:4 8
2 Everton W 3 2 0 1 5:5 5
3 Nottingham W 3 1 0 2 3:4 4
4 Newcastle Utd W 3 0 0 3 5:8 1
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool W 3 3 0 0 11:2 9
2 Sheffield Utd W 3 2 0 1 3:5 5
3 Durham W 3 0 0 3 3:4 2
4 Sunderland W 3 1 0 2 1:7 2
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham W 4 3 0 1 12:4 9
2 Charlton W 4 3 0 1 7:6 9
3 Brighton W 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
4 Portsmouth W 4 1 0 3 2:6 3
5 Southampton FC W 4 1 0 3 2:10 3
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crystal Palace W 3 2 0 1 7:4 6
2 Leicester W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 London City Lionesses W 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
4 Ipswich W 3 0 0 3 3:10 0
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tottenham W 3 3 0 0 4:0 8
2 Aston Villa W 3 1 0 2 6:3 5
3 Birmingham W 3 2 0 1 5:8 4
4 Bristol City W 3 0 0 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Women's League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)