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Leighton Town vs AFC Dunstable

World World

Club Friendly 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
McCelland A.
72' Event
Collier L.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Collier L.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2022 game between Leighton Town and AFC Dunstable finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AFC Dunstable.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Leighton Town
15%
Draws
85%
AFC Dunstable
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AFC Dunstable

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AFC Dunstable come out ahead of Leighton Town on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Leighton Town Clean Sheet 10%
AFC Dunstable Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leighton Town AFC Dunstable
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 2 2
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 1.59 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2022 Club Friendly
Leighton Town vs AFC Dunstable
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leighton Town Compare

Top Goalscorer McCelland A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

AFC Dunstable Compare

Top Goalscorer Collier L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leighton Town 30 / 100
AFC Dunstable 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leighton Town AFC Dunstable

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AFC Dunstable Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leighton Town's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

AFC Dunstable let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

AFC Dunstable's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Leighton Town VS AFC Dunstable
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Leighton Town

(Home)
29 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 0
Leighton Town
26 Sept
Newmarket
2 : 1
Leighton Town
12 Sept
Halesowen
4 : 2
Leighton Town
05 Sept
Leighton Town
1 : 4
Gorleston
31 Aug
Real Bedford
3 : 2
Leighton Town
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AFC Dunstable

(Away)
04 Oct
AFC Dunstable
1 : 3
Folkestone
19 Sept
Enfield FC
1 : 3
AFC Dunstable
06 Sept
Maldon & Tiptree
0 : 1
AFC Dunstable
08 Jul
Neots
4 : 2
AFC Dunstable
15 Sept
Biggleswade FC
2 : 1
AFC Dunstable
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