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Leighton Town vs Bury Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Ford S.
Penalty Missed
43' Event
Odell-Bature J.
44' Event
Clements B.

AI Match Summary

Bury Town in this Southern League Premier Central matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bury Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Leighton Town
15%
Draws
85%
Bury Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bury Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bury Town lately — more wins on the board than Leighton Town.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Leighton Town taking it.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Leighton Town Clean Sheet 10%
Bury Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leighton Town Bury Town
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 2 9
Losses 17 6
Goals Scored 1.67 1.87
Goals Conceded 2.15 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Leighton Town vs Bury Town
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leighton Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Odell-Bature J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader King S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Bury Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Clements B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McGrath J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leighton Town 40 / 100
Bury Town 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leighton Town Bury Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leighton Town's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Bury Town conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Bury Town registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leighton Town VS Bury Town
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Leighton Town

(Home)
03 Oct
Leighton Town
2 : 4
Peterborough Sports
29 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 0
Leighton Town
26 Sept
Newmarket
2 : 1
Leighton Town
12 Sept
Halesowen
4 : 2
Leighton Town
05 Sept
Leighton Town
1 : 4
Gorleston
Page 1 of 6

Bury Town

(Away)
06 Oct
Spalding United
4 : 0
Bury Town
03 Oct
Bury Town
1 : 1
Spalding United
29 Sept
Stortford
1 : 2
Bury Town
26 Sept
St. Albans
4 : 1
Bury Town
22 Sept
Bury Town
1 : 0
Hitchin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Bedford 9 9 0 0 29:10 27
2 Bury Town 9 8 0 1 18:8 24
3 Bromsgrove 9 7 1 1 17:8 22
4 Alvechurch 9 6 2 1 17:4 20
5 Kettering 9 5 3 1 16:6 18
6 Rushall 10 6 0 4 21:17 18
7 Peterborough Sports 10 4 4 2 19:15 16
8 Anstey Nomads 9 4 3 2 16:13 15
9 Needham Market 9 4 1 4 18:16 13
10 Halesowen 7 4 0 3 8:8 12
11 Leiston 9 3 2 4 17:17 11
12 Redditch 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
13 Racing Club Warwick 10 2 4 4 11:14 10
14 Stortford 9 3 1 5 10:13 10
15 Stourbridge 9 2 4 3 9:12 10
16 Leamington 9 2 3 4 12:14 9
17 Worcester 9 1 4 4 7:12 7
18 Hitchin 10 1 4 5 7:16 7
19 Banbury 9 1 3 5 9:16 6
20 Stratford 9 1 3 5 9:18 6
21 Leighton Town 9 1 2 6 12:20 5
22 Stamford 9 0 0 9 1:25 0
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
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Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)