Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leiknir Reykjavik vs Vestri

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Leiknisvöllur, Reykjavík
Leiknir Reykjavik Logo

Leiknir Reykjavik

1 - 0
FT
Vestri Logo

Vestri

Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Cheshmedjiev K.
46'
Sub
Svavarsson G. In: Eydal B.
Out: Svavarsson G.
60'
Veselinovic M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Leiknir Reykjavik in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leiknir Reykjavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Leiknir Reykjavik
15%
Draws
42%
Vestri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leiknir Reykjavik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Leiknir Reykjavik lately — more wins on the board than Vestri.
  • Model gives Leiknir Reykjavik a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vestri have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Leiknir Reykjavik Clean Sheet 17%
Vestri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiknir Reykjavik Vestri
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.47 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.57 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Division 1
Vestri vs Leiknir Reykjavik
2:0
Jun 13, 2026 Division 1
Leiknir Reykjavik vs Vestri
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Vestri vs Leiknir Reykjavik
1:0
Aug 20, 2023 Division 1
Leiknir Reykjavik vs Vestri
1:2
Jun 28, 2023 Division 1
Vestri vs Leiknir Reykjavik
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leiknir Reykjavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Burknason B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Vestri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiknir Reykjavik 84 / 100
Vestri 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiknir Reykjavik Vestri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leiknir Reykjavik Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vestri conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Leiknir Reykjavik scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Vestri lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leiknir Reykjavik VS Vestri
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Leiknir Reykjavik

(Home)
05 Sept
IR Reykjavik
3 : 2
Leiknir Reykjavik
29 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
2 : 0
Njardvik
22 Aug
Vestri
2 : 0
Leiknir Reykjavik
17 Aug
Leiknir Reykjavik
6 : 1
Aegir
13 Aug
Kopavogur
2 : 1
Leiknir Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

Vestri

(Away)
05 Sept
Vestri
0 : 2
Throttur
29 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Vestri
22 Aug
Vestri
2 : 0
Leiknir Reykjavik
17 Aug
Volsungur
2 : 0
Vestri
13 Aug
Vestri
1 : 0
IR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)