Sport Picks
Leioa vs Aurrera de Vitoria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 
AI Match Summary
Leioa host Aurrera de Vitoria in the Tercera RFEF - Group 4. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Aurrera de Vitoria have shipped 1.06 goals a game lately, while Leioa have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Leioa have won 5 to Aurrera de Vitoria's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.78 - 1.98) back Leioa to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Leioa at 1.5 per game, Aurrera de Vitoria at 1.32.
- Win probability leans Aurrera de Vitoria's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Leioa here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leioa | Aurrera de Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 31 |
| Wins | 16 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.32 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.78 | 1.98 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Leioa scored in 82% of their last 34 outings.
Aurrera de Vitoria's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Leioa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Leioa
(Home)Aurrera de Vitoria
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Derio | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:2 | 11 |
| 3 | Pasaia | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 10 |
| 4 | Leioa | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 12:6 | 9 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad C | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 6 | Touring KE | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 7 | UD Aretxabaleta | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 8 |
| 8 | Alaves C | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11:6 | 7 |
| 9 | Lagun Onak | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 10 | SCD Durango | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 11 | SD Erandio | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 12 | San Ignacio | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 5 |
| 13 | Eibar C | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 5 |
| 14 | Real Union B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 15 | Sodupe | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:9 | 5 |
| 16 | Beasain | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 17 | Santurtzi | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:12 | 1 |
