Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
Leioa in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Leioa lately — more wins on the board than Derio.
- 21% — that's where the model lands on Derio taking it.
- Leioa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Leioa, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leioa | Derio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 18 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leioa Compare
Derio Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leioa found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).
Derio let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.
Leioa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Difficult form: Derio registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
