Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Leioa in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leioa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Leioa lately — more wins on the board than Elgoibar.
- Leioa are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leioa | Elgoibar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 7 |
| Draws | 10 | 11 |
| Losses | 7 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 0.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.58 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.35 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Leioa scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.
Defensive concern: Elgoibar conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Leioa has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Leioa
(Home)Elgoibar
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Laudio | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 65:29 | 81 |
| 2 | Arenas Getxo | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 54:24 | 78 |
| 3 | Portugalete | 38 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 75:38 | 73 |
| 4 | Leioa | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 43:28 | 71 |
| 5 | Gernika Club | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 58:31 | 69 |
| 6 | Zalla UC | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 51:36 | 67 |
| 7 | Bermeo | 38 | 12 | 16 | 10 | 52:47 | 52 |
| 8 | SCD Durango | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 39:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Zamudio | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 41:52 | 47 |
| 10 | Beasain | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 38:41 | 47 |
| 11 | Lagun Onak | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 36:41 | 46 |
| 12 | Basconia | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 49:59 | 45 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 43:64 | 43 |
| 14 | Alaves B | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:48 | 43 |
| 15 | Elgoibar | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 35:42 | 43 |
| 16 | Santutxu FC | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 39:55 | 41 |
| 17 | Balmaseda | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 18 | Deportivo Getxo | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 34:49 | 39 |
| 19 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 27:57 | 29 |
| 20 | Anaitasuna FT | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 35:61 | 25 |
