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Leiria U19 vs Alverca U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leiria U19 host Alverca U19 in the Campeonato Nacional U19. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Leiria U19 at 1.48 goals for, 1.74 against; Alverca U19 at 1.21 for, 1.28 against. Past meetings favor Alverca U19 slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 10, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.75 - 1.75) back Leiria U19 to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Leiria U19
35%
Draws
39%
Alverca U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alverca U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Alverca U19 haven't matched Leiria U19's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Leiria U19 Clean Sheet 12%
Alverca U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiria U19 Alverca U19
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.48 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 10, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Leiria U19
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Alverca U19
1:0
Dec 11, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Alverca U19
0:4
Sep 18, 2021 Campeonato Nacional U19
Alverca U19 vs Leiria U19
5:0
Dec 7, 2019 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Alverca U19
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiria U19 30 / 100
Alverca U19 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiria U19 Alverca U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alverca U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Leiria U19 scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Alverca U19 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Leiria U19 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leiria U19 VS Alverca U19
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leiria U19

(Home)
19 Sept
Torreense U19
3 : 1
Leiria U19
12 Sept
Leiria U19
2 : 2
Oriental U19
05 Sept
Leiria U19
1 : 2
Santa Clara U19
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0
Leiria U19
23 Aug
Casa Pia U19
0 : 0
Leiria U19
Page 1 of 7

Alverca U19

(Away)
26 Sept
Santa Clara U19
1 : 1
Alverca U19
19 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 1
Casa Pia U19
13 Sept
Sporting CP U19
3 : 0
Alverca U19
06 Sept
Alverca U19
1 : 2
Benfica U19
22 Aug
Mafra U19
2 : 2
Alverca U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 6 4 1 1 13:4 13
2 Gil Vicente U19 6 3 2 1 5:2 11
3 Braga U19 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
4 Vitoria Guimaraes U19 7 3 1 3 7:9 10
5 Feirense U19 6 3 1 2 5:5 10
6 Rio Ave U19 6 2 2 2 5:4 8
7 Famalicao U19 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
8 Academico Viseu U19 6 2 1 3 9:6 7
9 Moreirense U19 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
10 Vizela U19 6 1 0 5 6:17 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting CP U19 6 5 1 0 11:3 16
2 Benfica U19 6 4 2 0 16:5 14
3 Oriental U19 6 3 2 1 7:5 11
4 Santa Clara U19 6 3 1 2 13:7 10
5 Mafra U19 6 2 2 2 6:12 8
6 Torreense U19 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
7 Casa Pia U19 6 1 2 3 5:7 5
8 SC Farense U19 6 1 1 4 6:12 4
9 Alverca U19 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
10 Leiria U19 6 0 3 3 5:13 3
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Campeonato Nacional U19 (Relegation Group)