Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leiria U19 vs Famalicao U19

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Cruz T.
46' Event
Goncalves M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional U19 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Leiria U19
6%
Draws
4%
Famalicao U19
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Leiria U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Leiria U19 average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Famalicao U19's 1.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Leiria U19 taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Leiria U19 Clean Sheet 15%
Famalicao U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiria U19 Famalicao U19
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Leiria U19 vs Famalicao U19
1:1
Jan 24, 2026 Campeonato Nacional U19
Famalicao U19 vs Leiria U19
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leiria U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Famalicao U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Goncalves M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiria U19 84 / 100
Famalicao U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiria U19 Famalicao U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leiria U19 scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Famalicao U19 let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Leiria U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leiria U19 VS Famalicao U19
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leiria U19

(Home)
16 May
Leiria U19
6 : 0
Gil Vicente U19
10 May
Benfica U19
5 : 2
Leiria U19
02 May
Leiria U19
2 : 1
FC Porto U19
25 Apr
Leiria U19
3 : 2
Rio Ave U19
18 Apr
Leiria U19
1 : 2
Santa Clara U19
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Famalicao U19

(Away)
16 May
Famalicao U19
2 : 1
Benfica U19
09 May
FC Porto U19
3 : 2
Famalicao U19
01 May
Famalicao U19
3 : 2
Rio Ave U19
25 Apr
Santa Clara U19
2 : 0
Famalicao U19
18 Apr
Famalicao U19
0 : 1
Sporting CP U19
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