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Leiria vs Academica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leiria host Academica in the Liga Portugal 2. Little to choose between these two on current form. Leiria have averaged 1.69 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Academica's 1.5 scored and 1.32 conceded. Past meetings favor Leiria slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 12, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.38, favoring Academica. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Leiria
15%
Draws
27%
Academica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leiria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Leiria haven't matched Academica's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Leiria a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Leiria Clean Sheet 17%
Academica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiria Academica
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.69 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2024 Club Friendly
Academica vs Leiria
0:0
Jan 15, 2023 Liga 3
Academica vs Leiria
1:3
Sep 3, 2022 Liga 3
Leiria vs Academica
1:1
Jul 23, 2019 Club Friendly
Academica vs Leiria
2:0
Jan 20, 2012 Liga Portugal
Academica vs Leiria
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiria 84 / 100
Academica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiria Academica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leiria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Leiria remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Leiria scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Academica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Leiria VS Academica
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leiria

(Home)
19 Sept
O Elvas CAD
0 : 2
Leiria
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2
Leiria
06 Sept
Leiria
1 : 0
Portimonense
28 Aug
Leiria
2 : 0
Tondela
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4
Leiria
Page 1 of 6

Academica

(Away)
18 Sept
Real SC
1 : 4
Academica
11 Sept
Academica
0 : 3
Benfica B
05 Sept
Penafiel
4 : 1
Academica
29 Aug
Academica
0 : 2
Lusitania FC
21 Aug
Tondela
0 : 2
Academica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitania FC 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
2 Penafiel 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
3 Sporting CP B 6 4 0 2 8:6 12
4 SC Farense 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
5 Vizela 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
6 Benfica B 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
7 Leiria 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
8 Leixoes 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Academica 6 3 0 3 8:10 9
10 Tondela 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
11 Portimonense 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
12 AFS 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
13 FC Felgueiras 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
14 Torreense 6 1 3 2 7:9 6
15 Amarante FC 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
16 Chaves 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
17 FC Porto B 6 1 1 4 4:13 4
18 Feirense 6 0 1 5 1:8 1
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)