Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leiria vs AD Marco 09

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Leiria and AD Marco 09 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leiria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Leiria
20%
Draws
40%
AD Marco 09
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • AD Marco 09 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Leiria are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Leiria Clean Sheet 20%
AD Marco 09 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiria AD Marco 09
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 12 13
Draws 6 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.66 1
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Leiria vs AD Marco 09
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiria 40 / 100
AD Marco 09 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiria AD Marco 09

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leiria Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leiria has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Leiria's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

AD Marco 09 let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Leiria VS AD Marco 09
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Leiria

(Home)
19 Sept
O Elvas CAD
0 : 2
Leiria
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2
Leiria
06 Sept
Leiria
1 : 0
Portimonense
28 Aug
Leiria
2 : 0
Tondela
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4
Leiria
Page 1 of 6

AD Marco 09

(Away)
20 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Maia Lidador
12 Sept
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Vitoria Guimaraes B
06 Sept
Sao Joao de Ver
0 : 0
AD Marco 09
30 Aug
Regua
0 : 1
AD Marco 09
23 Aug
AD Marco 09
2 : 0
SC Vianense
Page 1 of 7