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Leiria vs AD Marco 09

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Club Friendly
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Leiria and AD Marco 09 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leiria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Leiria
44%
Draws
20%
AD Marco 09
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Leiria carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Leiria Clean Sheet 20%
AD Marco 09 Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiria AD Marco 09
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 15, 2026 Club Friendly
Leiria vs AD Marco 09
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiria 36 / 100
AD Marco 09 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiria AD Marco 09

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leiria scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

AD Marco 09's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Leiria went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leiria VS AD Marco 09
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Leiria

(Home)
15 Jul
Leiria
2 : 0
AD Marco 09
11 Jul
Leiria
0 : 1
Alverca
17 May
Leiria
2 : 2
Feirense
09 May
Vizela
1 : 0
Leiria
03 May
Leiria
0 : 3
SC Farense
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AD Marco 09

(Away)
15 Jul
Leiria
2 : 0
AD Marco 09
03 May
Paredes
2 : 2
AD Marco 09
26 Apr
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
Braga B
18 Apr
AD Marco 09
1 : 0
AD Fafe
12 Apr
Sao Joao de Ver
0 : 0
AD Marco 09
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