Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Fernandez P.
Assist: Pires M.
51'
51'
Oliveira J.
63'
63'
Sub
Lottin A. In: Martins D.
Out: Lottin A.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 game between Leiria and Feirense finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Feirense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
35%
/ Low Confidence
- Leiria's 1.5 goals per match outpaces what Feirense have produced (1.07).
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Leiria Clean Sheet 19%
Feirense Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leiria | Feirense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.46 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Leiria vs Feirense
2:2
Jan 3, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Feirense vs Leiria
2:2
Apr 11, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Feirense vs Leiria
2:1
Nov 30, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Leiria vs Feirense
1:0
May 4, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Feirense vs Leiria
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leiria Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandez P.
1 Goals Assists Leader Munoz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Feirense Compare
Top Goalscorer Oliveira J.
1 Goals Assists Leader dos Santos L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leiria 32 / 100
Feirense 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leiria Feirense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leiria found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).
H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.
Feirense let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Solid form: Leiria remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Leiria VS Feirense
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Leiria
(Home) 09 Aug
Vizela
1 : 0 Leiria
28 Jul
Las Palmas
3 : 2 Leiria
15 Jul
Leiria
2 : 0 AD Marco 09
11 Jul
Leiria
0 : 1 Alverca
17 May
Leiria
2 : 2 Feirense
Page 1 of 6
15 Jul
Leiria
2 : 0 AD Marco 09
11 Jul
Leiria
0 : 1 Alverca
17 May
Leiria
2 : 2 Feirense
03 May
Leiria
0 : 3 SC Farense
18 Apr
Leiria
4 : 2 Penafiel
Page 1 of 3
Feirense
(Away) 09 Aug
Feirense
0 : 0 FC Felgueiras
01 Aug
Uniao Lamas
3 : 2 Feirense
01 Aug
Feirense
2 : 0 Casa Pia
18 Jul
Feirense
0 : 0 Arouca
17 May
Leiria
2 : 2 Feirense
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Uniao Lamas
3 : 2 Feirense
17 May
Leiria
2 : 2 Feirense
03 May
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 2 Feirense
17 Apr
Academico Viseu
3 : 0 Feirense
04 Apr
SC Farense
0 : 1 Feirense
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 50:29 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 58:33 | 59 |
| 3 | Torreense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 46:33 | 59 |
| 4 | Vizela | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | 51 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:42 | 51 |
| 6 | Leiria | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52:46 | 50 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 46:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Feirense | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:40 | 46 |
| 9 | Chaves | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:44 | 44 |
| 11 | FC Felgueiras | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:38 | 44 |
| 12 | Lusitania FC | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 44:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Sporting CP B | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:34 | 42 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:39 | 41 |
| 15 | Portimonense | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:49 | 40 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:37 | 40 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:49 | 34 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)
