Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leiria vs Fornos de Algodres

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2017/2018 Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Leiria in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Leiria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Leiria
6%
Draws
4%
Fornos de Algodres
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Leiria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Leiria lately — more wins on the board than Fornos de Algodres.
  • Leiria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Leiria Clean Sheet 68%
Fornos de Algodres Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiria Fornos de Algodres
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 1
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 25
Goals Scored 2.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Leiria vs Fornos de Algodres
4:0
Oct 29, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Fornos de Algodres vs Leiria
0:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiria 95 / 100
Fornos de Algodres 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiria Fornos de Algodres

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LEI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 4:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leiria's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Fornos de Algodres's defensive record shows goals conceded in 97% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Fornos de Algodres's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Leiria VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leiria30234368:2173
2Lusitano FCV30205547:1965
3SB Castelo Branco30178548:2359
4Sertanense30158751:2253
5Agueda30147939:3249
6Gafanha30139836:2348
7Anadia301210839:2846
8Maritimo B301431344:3045
9Nogueirense301191037:3842
10Oleiros301261235:3642
11Marinhense301181143:4141
12Mortagua FC301131623:4036
13Ferreira de Aves30921934:6929
14Aguias do Moradal30561929:5421
15GD Sourense30381928:5717
16Fornos de Algodres30042615:834