Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Leiria vs GD Braganca - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa, Leiria
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Taça de Portugal. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. GD Braganca have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Leiria have conceded 1.33 and scored 1.74. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (0.88 - 1.63) back GD Braganca to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Leiria
20%
Draws
40%
GD Braganca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and GD Braganca come out ahead of Leiria on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans GD Braganca's way, sitting at 70%.
  • GD Braganca arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Leiria Clean Sheet 14%
GD Braganca Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiria GD Braganca
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.74 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiria 15 / 100
GD Braganca 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiria GD Braganca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GD Braganca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leiria scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Leiria has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

GD Braganca has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Leiria VS GD Braganca
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leiria

(Home)
19 Sept
O Elvas CAD
0 : 2
Leiria
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2
Leiria
06 Sept
Leiria
1 : 0
Portimonense
28 Aug
Leiria
2 : 0
Tondela
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4
Leiria
Page 1 of 6

GD Braganca

(Away)
20 Sept
GD Braganca
6 : 1
Celoricense
13 Sept
GD Braganca
3 : 0
Ponte da Barca
06 Sept
Maia Lidador
0 : 1
GD Braganca
30 Aug
Rebordelo
0 : 4
GD Braganca
23 Aug
GD Braganca
0 : 0
Braga B
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
SC Salgueiros 2
Sousense 1
TBD -
Feirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
GD Alcochetense 8
Fayal 0
C.F. Benfica 3
Viana Alentejo 0
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Maritimo -
Imortal -
TBD -
TBD -
Tondela -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alverca -
Ermesinde 1
Paredes 3
Maria de Fonte 1
Uniao Nogueirense 0
TBD -
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Famalicao -
Beira Mar 4
Uniao Lamas 3
Lusitano GC 1
CF Os Belenenses 2
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Arouca -
Fazendense 1
Mocarriense 0
TBD -
Figueirense -
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Estrela da Amadora -
Malveira 2
Mafra 3
TBD -
Tirsense -
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Santa Clara -
Santarem -
TBD -
Merelinense 2
Atletico Arcos 0
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Gil Vicente -
Caldas SC 1
Sintrense 3
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AFS -
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Moreirense -
ACDR Lamelas -
TBD -
Portalegrense 0
Santo Antonio 3
TBD -
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Vitoria Guimaraes -
Anca -
TBD -
Sanjoanense 3
Pacos de Brandao 0
TBD -
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Nacional -
Rebordosa 2
FC Alpendorada 3
Macao 5
CF Os Gavionenses 0
TBD -
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Casa Pia -
Serpa 2
Grandolense 0
Castrense 0
Louletano 1
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Rio Ave -
Fatima 3
SB Castelo Branco 1
TBD -
Vinhais -
TBD -
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Academico Viseu -
Sacavenense 5
SC Angrense 0
TBD -
SC Farense -
Regua 0
AD Marco 09 1
Maia Lidador 1
Vila Mea 0
1º Dezembro 0
Real SC 1
TBD -
Academica -
CDC Montalegre 0
Ponte da Barca 1
TBD -
Amarante FC -
O Elvas CAD 9
Sao Roque 0
TBD -
Leiria -
Rebordelo 0
GD Braganca 4
Celoricense 1
Pevidem 0
Montijo 0
Atletico CP 4
TBD -
Lagoa -
Bombarralense -
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Vizela -
Ac. Fundao 0
Guarda FC 6
TBD -
Chaves -
UD Ovarense -
TBD -
Fornos de Algodres 0
Os Marialvas 4
Estrela Calheta -
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SC Vianense 8
Minas de Argozelo 0
Cinfaes 1
SC Espinho 0
TBD -
Leixoes -
Oliveirense 4
Penalva do Castelo 0
TBD -
Penafiel -
Covilha 0
Mortagua FC 1
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Leca -
Nogueirense 1
Naval 1893 3
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FC Felgueiras -
Pacos Ferreira 0
AD Fafe 1
TBD -
Lajense -
Olhanense -
TBD -
Messejanense 0
Portel 8
Oliveira Hospital 1
GD Sourense 0
Uniao Montemor 1
Juv. Evora 4
SC Barreiro 2
FC Madalena 5
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Lusitania FC -
Correlha 1
AD Limianos 4
Ferreiras 0
Aljustrelense 3
Alcains 1
Sertanense 0
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Vitoria Setubal -
Amora -
TBD -
Uniao Da Serra 5
Uniao de Pombal 0
Machico 2
Camacha 3
Florgrade 1
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Castro Daire -
TBD -
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Portimonense -
Vila Pouca -
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Brito -
GD Os Nazarenos 0
Vitoria Sernache 3
Varzim 5
Trofense 1
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1/64-finals
SC Salgueiros 1
Feirense 0
TBD -
Estoril -
GD Alcochetense 2
C.F. Benfica 0
TBD -
Maritimo -
Imortal 1
Tondela 5
TBD -
Alverca -
Paredes 5
Maria de Fonte 1
TBD -
Famalicao -
Beira Mar 0
CF Os Belenenses 2
TBD -
Arouca -
Fazendense 6
Figueirense 1
TBD -
Estrela da Amadora -
Mafra 3
Tirsense 2
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Santarem 5
Merelinense 0
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Sintrense 0
AFS 2
TBD -
Moreirense -
ACDR Lamelas 4
Santo Antonio 1
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Anca 1
Sanjoanense 4
TBD -
Nacional -
FC Alpendorada 3
Macao 0
TBD -
Casa Pia -
Serpa 1
Louletano 2
TBD -
Rio Ave -
Fatima 4
Vinhais 1
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Sacavenense 0
SC Farense 1
AD Marco 09 1
Maia Lidador 0
Real SC 1
Academica 4
Ponte da Barca 0
Amarante FC 2
O Elvas CAD 0
Leiria 2
GD Braganca 6
Celoricense 1
Atletico CP 4
Lagoa 1
Bombarralense 0
Vizela 1
Guarda FC 2
Chaves 3
UD Ovarense 0
Os Marialvas 1
Estrela Calheta 1
SC Vianense 3
Cinfaes 0
Leixoes 4
Oliveirense 1
Penafiel 2
Mortagua FC 0
Leca 2
Naval 1893 0
FC Felgueiras 2
AD Fafe 4
Lajense 0
Olhanense 1
Portel 0
Oliveira Hospital 3
Juv. Evora 2
FC Madalena 1
Lusitania FC 3
AD Limianos 3
Aljustrelense 0
Alcains 0
Vitoria Setubal 2
Amora 3
Uniao Da Serra 4
Camacha 0
Florgrade 1
Castro Daire 0
Portimonense 1
Vila Pouca 0
Brito 5
Vitoria Sernache 2
Varzim 1
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1/32-finals
SC Salgueiros -
Estoril -
GD Alcochetense -
Maritimo -
Tondela -
Alverca -
Paredes -
Famalicao -
CF Os Belenenses -
Arouca -
Fazendense -
Estrela da Amadora -
Mafra -
Santa Clara -
Santarem -
Gil Vicente -
AFS -
Moreirense -
ACDR Lamelas -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Sanjoanense -
Nacional -
FC Alpendorada -
Casa Pia -
Louletano -
Rio Ave -
Fatima -
Academico Viseu -
SC Farense -
AD Marco 09 -
Academica -
Amarante FC -
Leiria -
GD Braganca -
Atletico CP -
Vizela -
Chaves -
Os Marialvas -
SC Vianense -
Leixoes -
Penafiel -
Leca -
FC Felgueiras -
AD Fafe -
Olhanense -
Oliveira Hospital -
Lusitania FC -
AD Limianos -
Vitoria Setubal -
Uniao Da Serra -
Florgrade -
Portimonense -
Brito -
Vitoria Sernache -
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1/16-finals
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1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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