Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Canfer O.
9'
9'
Canfer O.
24'
24'
Mauge J.
AI Match Summary
Bury Town in this Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bury Town.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bury Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Bury Town lately — more wins on the board than Leiston.
- Model gives Leiston a 39% chance of winning this.
- Regular Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Bury Town have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Leiston Clean Sheet 10%
Bury Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leiston | Bury Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 10 | 10 |
| Losses | 6 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.86 | 1.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Bury Town vs Leiston
4:3
Apr 6, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Bury Town
1:3
Feb 3, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Bury Town vs Leiston
1:1
Aug 2, 2024 Club Friendly
Bury Town vs Leiston
1:0
Apr 6, 2015 Isthmian League Premier Division
Leiston vs Bury Town
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leiston Compare
Top Goalscorer Blois R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Bury Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Canfer O.
2 Goals Assists Leader Mauge J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leiston 38 / 100
Bury Town 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leiston Bury Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leiston Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leiston scored in 93% of their last 29 games.
Bury Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Leiston has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Leiston VS Bury Town
2.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Leiston
(Home) 12 Sept
Banbury
1 : 2 Leiston
08 Sept
Leiston
5 : 0 Grays
05 Sept
Grays
0 : 0 Leiston
31 Aug
Bury Town
4 : 3 Leiston
29 Aug
Leiston
3 : 1 Redditch
Page 1 of 6
08 Sept
Leiston
5 : 0 Grays
29 Aug
Leiston
3 : 1 Redditch
15 Aug
Leiston
1 : 2 Rushall
11 Aug
Leiston
3 : 1 Stortford
18 Apr
Leiston
2 : 2 Spalding United
Page 1 of 3
Bury Town
(Away) 12 Sept
Bromsgrove
1 : 0 Bury Town
05 Sept
London Lions
2 : 4 Bury Town
31 Aug
Bury Town
4 : 3 Leiston
29 Aug
Leighton Town
2 : 3 Bury Town
22 Aug
Bury Town
3 : 0 Leamington
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Bromsgrove
1 : 0 Bury Town
05 Sept
London Lions
2 : 4 Bury Town
29 Aug
Leighton Town
2 : 3 Bury Town
15 Aug
Stratford
1 : 3 Bury Town
11 Aug
Stamford
0 : 1 Bury Town
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harborough | 42 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 81:33 | 95 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 103:54 | 85 |
| 3 | Real Bedford | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 84:47 | 81 |
| 4 | Kettering | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 74:52 | 72 |
| 5 | Halesowen | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 85:60 | 70 |
| 6 | Needham Market | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 64:53 | 70 |
| 7 | Redditch | 42 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 67:58 | 70 |
| 8 | Quorn | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 78:71 | 65 |
| 9 | Worcester | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 64:44 | 63 |
| 10 | Leiston | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 65:58 | 63 |
| 11 | Stratford | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 61:54 | 61 |
| 12 | Banbury | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 51:56 | 60 |
| 13 | Bury Town | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 61:53 | 58 |
| 14 | Alvechurch | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:55 | 50 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 58:68 | 50 |
| 16 | Stortford | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 53:67 | 49 |
| 17 | Stamford | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 41:64 | 47 |
| 18 | Bromsgrove | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 52:73 | 44 |
| 19 | St Ives Town | 42 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 50:73 | 39 |
| 20 | Barwell | 42 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 52:85 | 35 |
| 21 | Royston Town | 42 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 35:82 | 25 |
| 22 | Sudbury | 42 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 47:115 | 25 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
