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Leiston vs Rushall - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Lycett C.
44' Event
Mills A.
66' Event
Roberts T.

AI Match Summary

Rushall in this Southern League Premier Central matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rushall.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Leiston
15%
Draws
42%
Rushall
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Leiston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Leiston have won more games recently than Rushall.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Leiston Clean Sheet 12%
Rushall Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiston Rushall
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 15 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.87 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Rushall
1:2
Apr 1, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Rushall
2:1
Dec 6, 2022 Southern League Premier Central
Rushall vs Leiston
0:2
Mar 12, 2022 Southern League Premier Central
Rushall vs Leiston
0:3
Dec 11, 2021 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Rushall
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leiston Compare

Top Goalscorer Mills A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Rushall Compare

Top Goalscorer Lycett C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roberts T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiston 35 / 100
Rushall 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiston Rushall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rushall Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leiston scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Rushall conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Rushall lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leiston VS Rushall
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Leiston

(Home)
03 Oct
Leiston
3 : 1
Coventry United
29 Sept
Real Bedford
3 : 2
Leiston
26 Sept
Leiston
0 : 3
Dartford
22 Sept
Leiston
0 : 2
Peterborough Sports
19 Sept
Hitchin
1 : 2
Leiston
Page 1 of 6

Rushall

(Away)
03 Oct
Rushall
5 : 3
Needham Market
29 Sept
Halesowen
1 : 0
Rushall
26 Sept
Rushall
1 : 3
Stourbridge
22 Sept
Rushall
3 : 2
Kettering
19 Sept
Harborough
1 : 0
Rushall
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Bedford 9 9 0 0 29:10 27
2 Bury Town 9 8 0 1 18:8 24
3 Bromsgrove 9 7 1 1 17:8 22
4 Alvechurch 9 6 2 1 17:4 20
5 Kettering 9 5 3 1 16:6 18
6 Rushall 10 6 0 4 21:17 18
7 Peterborough Sports 10 4 4 2 19:15 16
8 Anstey Nomads 9 4 3 2 16:13 15
9 Needham Market 9 4 1 4 18:16 13
10 Halesowen 7 4 0 3 8:8 12
11 Leiston 9 3 2 4 17:17 11
12 Redditch 9 2 4 3 12:13 10
13 Racing Club Warwick 10 2 4 4 11:14 10
14 Stortford 9 3 1 5 10:13 10
15 Stourbridge 9 2 4 3 9:12 10
16 Leamington 9 2 3 4 12:14 9
17 Worcester 9 1 4 4 7:12 7
18 Hitchin 10 1 4 5 7:16 7
19 Banbury 9 1 3 5 9:16 6
20 Stratford 9 1 3 5 9:18 6
21 Leighton Town 9 1 2 6 12:20 5
22 Stamford 9 0 0 9 1:25 0
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)