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Leiston vs Rushall

England England

Southern League Premier Central
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Lycett C.
44' Event
Mills A.
66' Event
Roberts T.

AI Match Summary

Rushall in this Southern League Premier Central matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Rushall.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Leiston
15%
Draws
46%
Rushall
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rushall

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Leiston have won more games recently than Rushall.
  • Leiston are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Leiston Clean Sheet 16%
Rushall Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leiston Rushall
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.79 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Rushall
1:2
Apr 1, 2023 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Rushall
2:1
Dec 6, 2022 Southern League Premier Central
Rushall vs Leiston
0:2
Mar 12, 2022 Southern League Premier Central
Rushall vs Leiston
0:3
Dec 11, 2021 Southern League Premier Central
Leiston vs Rushall
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leiston Compare

Top Goalscorer Mills A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Rushall Compare

Top Goalscorer Lycett C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roberts T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leiston 39 / 100
Rushall 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leiston Rushall

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leiston Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leiston scored in 91% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Rushall conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Leiston went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leiston VS Rushall
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leiston

(Home)
15 Aug
Leiston
1 : 2
Rushall
11 Aug
Leiston
3 : 1
Stortford
08 Aug
Anstey Nomads
1 : 1
Leiston
28 Jul
Gorleston
1 : 3
Leiston
10 Jul
Aveley
2 : 4
Leiston
Page 1 of 7

Rushall

(Away)
15 Aug
Leiston
1 : 2
Rushall
11 Aug
Bromsgrove
2 : 1
Rushall
08 Aug
Rushall
2 : 1
Hitchin
01 Aug
Malvern Town
1 : 2
Rushall
25 Jul
Shifnal Town
1 : 2
Rushall
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Bedford 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Bury Town 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
3 Kettering 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
4 Alvechurch 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
5 Stourbridge 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
6 Bromsgrove 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
7 Rushall 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
8 Leighton Town 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
9 Anstey Nomads 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
10 Leiston 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
11 Racing Club Warwick 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
12 Banbury 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
13 Redditch 3 0 3 0 2:2 3
14 Halesowen 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
15 Needham Market 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
16 Stratford 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
17 Worcester 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
18 Leamington 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
19 Hitchin 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
20 Peterborough Sports 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
21 Stortford 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
22 Stamford 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs)