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Leixoes vs Amarante FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 Estádio do Mar, Matosinhos
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Figueiredo L.
8' Event
Araujo C.
19'
Mendes F.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 game between Leixoes and Amarante FC finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leixoes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Leixoes
30%
Draws
31%
Amarante FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leixoes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Leixoes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Leixoes's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Liga Portugal 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Leixoes here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Leixoes Clean Sheet 68%
Amarante FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leixoes Amarante FC
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 14
Draws 6 8
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 1.97 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Amarante FC
3:1
Oct 19, 2025 Taça de Portugal
Amarante FC vs Leixoes
1:2
Oct 21, 2018 Taça de Portugal
Leixoes vs Amarante FC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Leixoes Compare

Top Goalscorer Araujo C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Luccas Paraizo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Amarante FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leixoes 77 / 100
Amarante FC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leixoes Amarante FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leixoes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leixoes found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Amarante FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 61% of 28 matches.

Leixoes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leixoes VS Amarante FC
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leixoes

(Home)
20 Sept
Cinfaes
0 : 4
Leixoes
11 Sept
Torreense
0 : 0
Leixoes
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1
Amarante FC
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2
Leixoes
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4
Leiria
Page 1 of 6

Amarante FC

(Away)
20 Sept
Ponte da Barca
0 : 2
Amarante FC
13 Sept
Amarante FC
2 : 2
Leiria
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1
Amarante FC
30 Aug
Amarante FC
1 : 0
Benfica B
22 Aug
Vizela
0 : 0
Amarante FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitania FC 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
2 Penafiel 6 4 1 1 13:5 13
3 Sporting CP B 6 4 0 2 8:6 12
4 SC Farense 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
5 Vizela 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
6 Benfica B 6 3 1 2 7:5 10
7 Leiria 6 3 1 2 10:7 10
8 Leixoes 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
9 Academica 6 3 0 3 8:10 9
10 Tondela 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
11 Portimonense 6 2 1 3 4:6 7
12 AFS 6 1 3 2 6:6 6
13 FC Felgueiras 6 1 3 2 5:6 6
14 Torreense 6 1 3 2 7:9 6
15 Amarante FC 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
16 Chaves 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
17 FC Porto B 6 1 1 4 4:13 4
18 Feirense 6 0 1 5 1:8 1
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 2027/2028 (Main)