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Leixoes vs Casa Pia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
22' Event
29' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Leixoes and Casa Pia finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leixoes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Leixoes
20%
Draws
23%
Casa Pia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leixoes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Leixoes come out ahead of Casa Pia on wins alone.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Leixoes taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Leixoes Clean Sheet 20%
Casa Pia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leixoes Casa Pia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.97 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Leixoes vs Casa Pia
6:2
May 15, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Casa Pia
1:5
Jan 9, 2022 Liga Portugal 2
Casa Pia vs Leixoes
1:0
Jan 31, 2021 Liga Portugal 2
Casa Pia vs Leixoes
1:1
Sep 13, 2020 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Casa Pia
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leixoes 85 / 100
Casa Pia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leixoes Casa Pia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leixoes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Leixoes scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Casa Pia let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Leixoes stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leixoes VS Casa Pia
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Leixoes

(Home)
20 Sept
Cinfaes
0 : 4
Leixoes
11 Sept
Torreense
0 : 0
Leixoes
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1
Amarante FC
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2
Leixoes
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4
Leiria
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Casa Pia

(Away)
20 Sept
Estoril
1 : 2
Casa Pia
12 Sept
Casa Pia
1 : 4
FC Porto
06 Sept
Vitoria Guimaraes
0 : 0
Casa Pia
30 Aug
Casa Pia
0 : 1
Moreirense
24 Aug
Gil Vicente
2 : 0
Casa Pia
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