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Leixoes vs Chaves

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Club Friendly 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Leixoes and Chaves finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chaves.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Leixoes
20%
Draws
23%
Chaves
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leixoes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Chaves haven't matched Leixoes's recent run of results.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Leixoes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Leixoes Clean Sheet 68%
Chaves Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Leixoes Chaves
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 2
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.86 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Chaves vs Leixoes
1:2
Nov 16, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Chaves
0:1
Jul 30, 2025 Club Friendly
Leixoes vs Chaves
0:1
Jan 25, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Chaves
0:0
Aug 18, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Chaves vs Leixoes
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Leixoes 95 / 100
Chaves 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Leixoes Chaves

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leixoes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leixoes found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Chaves let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Leixoes went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Chaves registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Leixoes VS Chaves
2.5 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Leixoes

(Home)
11 Sept
Torreense
0 : 0
Leixoes
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1
Amarante FC
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2
Leixoes
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4
Leiria
16 Aug
Leixoes
1 : 0
Tondela
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Chaves

(Away)
13 Sept
Chaves
1 : 0
Feirense
30 Aug
FC Felgueiras
2 : 1
Chaves
23 Aug
Chaves
2 : 2
AFS
15 Aug
Sporting CP B
1 : 0
Chaves
08 Aug
Chaves
1 : 4
Academica
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