Sport Picks
Leixoes vs Pacos Ferreira - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio do Mar, Matosinhos 
Match Events
27'
27'
Costa D.
Assist: Anilson
34'
34'
Victor J.
Assist: Cardoso G.
44'
44'
Lumungo R.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 game between Leixoes and Pacos Ferreira finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leixoes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Leixoes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Leixoes come out ahead of Pacos Ferreira on wins alone.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Leixoes taking it.
- Regular Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Leixoes Clean Sheet 68%
Pacos Ferreira Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Leixoes | Pacos Ferreira |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 17 | 8 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 6 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 22, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Pacos Ferreira
3:2
Nov 3, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Pacos Ferreira vs Leixoes
3:1
Jan 31, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
Pacos Ferreira vs Leixoes
0:0
Aug 24, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Pacos Ferreira
3:3
Feb 16, 2024 Liga Portugal 2
Leixoes vs Pacos Ferreira
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Leixoes Compare
Top Goalscorer Commey S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Agra S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Pacos Ferreira Compare
Top Goalscorer Costa D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Victor J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Leixoes 95 / 100
Pacos Ferreira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Leixoes Pacos Ferreira
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Leixoes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leixoes found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.
Pacos Ferreira let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: Leixoes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Leixoes VS Pacos Ferreira
2.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Leixoes
(Home) 20 Sept
Cinfaes
0 : 4 Leixoes
11 Sept
Torreense
0 : 0 Leixoes
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1 Amarante FC
29 Aug
Portimonense
0 : 2 Leixoes
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4 Leiria
Page 1 of 6
06 Sept
Leixoes
3 : 1 Amarante FC
22 Aug
Leixoes
2 : 4 Leiria
16 Aug
Leixoes
1 : 0 Tondela
01 Aug
Leixoes
6 : 2 Casa Pia
29 Jul
Leixoes
3 : 2 Vizela
Page 1 of 3
Pacos Ferreira
(Away) 13 Sept
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 1 Sao Joao de Ver
05 Sept
SC Vianense
2 : 2 Pacos Ferreira
29 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1 AD Fafe
22 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 4 Varzim
15 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
0 : 1 Paredes
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
SC Vianense
2 : 2 Pacos Ferreira
09 Aug
AD Marco 09
2 : 1 Pacos Ferreira
09 May
SC Farense
1 : 1 Pacos Ferreira
26 Apr
Lusitania FC
2 : 0 Pacos Ferreira
10 Apr
FC Felgueiras
0 : 0 Pacos Ferreira
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maritimo | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 50:29 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 58:33 | 59 |
| 3 | Torreense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 46:33 | 59 |
| 4 | Vizela | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | 51 |
| 5 | FC Porto B | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 41:42 | 51 |
| 6 | Leiria | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52:46 | 50 |
| 7 | Leixoes | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 46:55 | 50 |
| 8 | Feirense | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 37:40 | 46 |
| 9 | Chaves | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 42:40 | 45 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 43:44 | 44 |
| 11 | FC Felgueiras | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 34:38 | 44 |
| 12 | Lusitania FC | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 44:52 | 43 |
| 13 | Sporting CP B | 34 | 13 | 3 | 18 | 41:34 | 42 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:39 | 41 |
| 15 | Portimonense | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 39:49 | 40 |
| 16 | SC Farense | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 31:37 | 40 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 34:48 | 39 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:49 | 34 |
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)
