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Lekie W vs Mamelodi Sundowns W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League Women Suez Canal Stadium, Ismailia
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Tholakele R.
Assist: Donnelly R.
46'
Sub
Meyong C. In: Voulania C.
Out: Meyong C.
64'
Sub
Nnanga M. In: Nakom S.
Out: Nnanga M.

AI Match Summary

The CAF Champions League Women game between Lekie W and Mamelodi Sundowns W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mamelodi Sundowns W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Lekie W
25%
Draws
35%
Mamelodi Sundowns W
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Lekie W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Lekie W haven't matched Mamelodi Sundowns W's recent run of results.
  • Mamelodi Sundowns W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this CAF Champions League Women fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 17.2%
Lekie W Clean Sheet 11%
Mamelodi Sundowns W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lekie W Mamelodi Sundowns W
Matches Played 2 28
Wins 0 20
Draws 1 3
Losses 1 5
Goals Scored 0.5 2.32
Goals Conceded 1 0.46
Expected Goals (xG) 0.29 1.83
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2026 CAF Champions League Women
Lekie W vs Mamelodi Sundowns W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lekie W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nakom S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.22
Avg xA / game 0.14

Mamelodi Sundowns W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tholakele R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.66
Avg xA / game 1.02

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lekie W 18 / 100
Mamelodi Sundowns W 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lekie W Mamelodi Sundowns W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mamelodi Sundowns W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Lekie W found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (2 games).

Mamelodi Sundowns W has conceded goals in 21% of their last 28 outings.

Lekie W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lekie W VS Mamelodi Sundowns W
0.33 Goals Scored 3
0.67 Goals Conceded 0.25
33% Over 1.5 75%
33% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lekie W

(Home)
04 Nov
Lekie W
1 : 2
Mamelodi Sundowns W
01 Nov
FUS Rabat W
0 : 0
Lekie W

Mamelodi Sundowns W

(Away)
04 Nov
Lekie W
1 : 2
Mamelodi Sundowns W
01 Nov
Masar W
0 : 0
Mamelodi Sundowns W
25 Oct
TS Galaxy W
0 : 5
Mamelodi Sundowns W
17 Oct
Mamelodi Sundowns W
0 : 0
Western Cape University W
04 Oct
Richmond United FC W
0 : 8
Mamelodi Sundowns W
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Masar W 2 1 1 0 3:0 4
2 Mamelodi Sundowns W 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Lekie W 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
4 FUS Rabat W 2 0 1 1 0:3 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ampem Darkoa W 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Kawempe Muslim W 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 FAR Rabat W 2 1 0 1 8:3 3
4 USFAS Bamako W 2 0 0 2 1:11 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League Women (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)