Sport Picks
Lelle vs Kohtla-Nomme - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Estonia
Estonian Cup 2017/2018 
Match Events
10'
10'
Kulli R.
15'
15'
Einamaa A.
26'
26'
Metsla M.
AI Match Summary
Lelle in this Estonian Cup 2017/2018 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lelle
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Lelle lately — more wins on the board than Kohtla-Nomme.
- Kohtla-Nomme are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Lelle have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Lelle, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Lelle Clean Sheet 20%
Kohtla-Nomme Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lelle | Kohtla-Nomme |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 10 |
| Wins | 9 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 21 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 4.4 | 6.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 23, 2017 Estonian Cup
Lelle vs Kohtla-Nomme
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lelle Compare
Top Goalscorer Kulli R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Einamaa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Kohtla-Nomme Compare
Top Goalscorer Metsla M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kruusmaa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lelle 10 / 100
Kohtla-Nomme 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lelle Kohtla-Nomme
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kohtla-Nomme Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kohtla-Nomme has conceded goals in 100% of their last 10 outings.
Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.
Lelle's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Difficult form: Kohtla-Nomme registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lelle VS Kohtla-Nomme
1 Goals Scored 1.5
3.75 Goals Conceded 5.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%
Recent Form & Match History
Lelle
(Home) 20 Jul
Tulevik
26 : 0 Lelle
02 Sept
Pohja-Sakala
6 : 1 Lelle
07 Aug
Lelle
0 : 1 Tabasalu
20 Jun
Lelle
2 : 1 TransferWise
18 Jul
Tabasalu
6 : 0 Lelle
Page 1 of 6
07 Aug
Lelle
0 : 1 Tabasalu
20 Jun
Lelle
2 : 1 TransferWise
23 Jul
Lelle
3 : 2 Kohtla-Nomme
09 Jun
Lelle
1 : 6 Molycorp Silmet
29 Jul
Lelle
0 : 2 Vastseliina Tannem
Page 1 of 4
Kohtla-Nomme
(Away) 29 Jul
Levadia
6 : 0 Kohtla-Nomme
20 Aug
Flora
12 : 0 Kohtla-Nomme
16 Jul
Teleios
4 : 1 Kohtla-Nomme
21 Jun
TransferWise
2 : 3 Kohtla-Nomme
23 Jul
Lelle
3 : 2 Kohtla-Nomme
Page 1 of 2
29 Jul
Levadia
6 : 0 Kohtla-Nomme
20 Aug
Flora
12 : 0 Kohtla-Nomme
16 Jul
Teleios
4 : 1 Kohtla-Nomme
21 Jun
TransferWise
2 : 3 Kohtla-Nomme
23 Jul
Lelle
3 : 2 Kohtla-Nomme
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Narva 6
Maardu Linnameeskond 1
TBD -
Pohja-Sakala -
Legion -
TBD -
TBD -
Levadia Tallinn III -
JK Poseidon -
TBD -
Kose 1
Raasiku Joker 10
Tallinna Kalev -
TBD -
Pirita 1
Rakvere 5
Laanemaa Haapsalu -
TBD -
TBD -
Ambla -
Tallinna Depoo -
TBD -
FCP Parnu 1
Ganvix Turi 4
Anija 7
Puhkus Mehhikos 0
Elbato 1
Lihula JK 7
Castovanni Eagles -
TBD -
FCI Tallinn II 0
FCI Tallinn 7
Kalju 13
Viimsi JK 2 0
TBD -
Koeru -
Kohtla-Nomme 3
Soccernet 1
TBD -
Lelle -
FC Tartu 3
Eston Villa 1
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev III -
Santos Tartu -
TBD -
JK Poseidon II 1
Paide Linnameeskond II 12
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 7
Rakvere II 0
Rasmus Varki Jalgpallikool 2
Saue JK Laagri 10
Flora U19 5
Vastseliina Tannem 0
Raplamaa 0
Tartu JK Welco 1
Paide Linnameeskond 27
FC Hiiu United 0
Imavere Forss 1
Jogeva 4
Sillamae Kalev -
TBD -
Nomme Utd 0
Levadia 3
Flora Tallinn U21 10
Rumori Calcio II 0
TBD -
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II -
Jogeva Wolves 5
Odratakkel 1
TBD -
Viimsi JK -
Zenit Tallinn -
TBD -
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Otepaa 6
Jarva-Jaani 18
JK 32. keskkool 2
TBD -
Pohja-Tallinna -
Maardu United -
TBD -
TBD -
Valga Warrior -
Tartu Ulikool 1
Viimsi Lovid 0
Tallinna Wolves 0
TransferWise 2
Kohila -
TBD -
Oismae Torm 2
Jogeva Wolves II 3
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Tulevik -
Kuressaare -
TBD -
FC Lootos Polva 1
Kadrina SK Moe 4
Loo JK -
TBD -
Navi Vutiselts 2
Rada Kuusalu 4
Kadakas 7
Raudteetoolised 2
TBD -
Rapla Lokomotiiv -
Molycorp Silmet 2
Igiliikur 0
TBD -
Rumori Calcio -
Elva -
TBD -
Tallinna FC Zapoos 3
FC Ararat 5
SK Taaksi 1
Vaatsa Vald 0
Tallinn Piraaja 1
Maardu Aliens 2
Narva United -
TBD -
TBD -
Parnu JK Vaprus -
Tammeka Tartu II 6
Olympic Tallinn 1
Helios 1
Flora 17
1/32-finals
Narva 8
Pohja-Sakala 0
Legion 0
Levadia Tallinn III 3
JK Poseidon 2
Raasiku Joker 0
Tallinna Kalev 0
Rakvere 1
Laanemaa Haapsalu 4
Ambla 1
Tallinna Depoo 1
Ganvix Turi 12
Anija 5
Lihula JK 1
Castovanni Eagles 0
FCI Tallinn 4
Kalju 1
Koeru 0
Kohtla-Nomme 2
Lelle 3
FC Tartu 5
Tallinna Kalev III 1
Santos Tartu 0
Paide Linnameeskond II 3
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Saue JK Laagri 0
Flora U19 0
Tartu JK Welco 2
Paide Linnameeskond 7
Jogeva 3
Sillamae Kalev 1
Levadia 2
Flora Tallinn U21 8
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II 0
Jogeva Wolves 1
Viimsi JK 6
Zenit Tallinn 5
Otepaa 2
Jarva-Jaani 1
Pohja-Tallinna 4
Maardu United 10
Valga Warrior 0
Tartu Ulikool 2
TransferWise 3
Kohila 3
Jogeva Wolves II 0
Tammeka Tartu 0
Tulevik 1
Kuressaare 12
Kadrina SK Moe 0
Loo JK 1
Rada Kuusalu 2
Kadakas 2
Rapla Lokomotiiv 1
Molycorp Silmet 0
Rumori Calcio 6
Elva 8
FC Ararat 0
SK Taaksi 1
Maardu Aliens 6
Narva United 2
Parnu JK Vaprus 1
Tammeka Tartu II 0
Flora 7
1/16-finals
Narva 9
Levadia Tallinn III 2
JK Poseidon 0
Rakvere 4
Laanemaa Haapsalu 2
Ganvix Turi 1
Anija 0
FCI Tallinn 16
Kalju 8
Lelle 0
FC Tartu 0
Paide Linnameeskond II 11
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 5
Tartu JK Welco 0
Paide Linnameeskond 1
Levadia 3
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Viimsi JK 0
Zenit Tallinn 1
Pohja-Tallinna 5
Maardu United 5
TransferWise 4
Kohila 0
Tulevik 8
Kuressaare 9
Rada Kuusalu 1
Kadakas 2
Rumori Calcio 3
Elva 3
Maardu Aliens 0
Narva United 0
Flora 8
1/8-finals
Narva 2
Rakvere 0
Laanemaa Haapsalu 1
FCI Tallinn 7
Kalju 2
Paide Linnameeskond II 1
Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve 0
Levadia 7
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Pohja-Tallinna 0
Maardu United -
Tulevik -
Kuressaare 6
Rumori Calcio 0
Elva 0
Flora 2
Quarter-finals
Narva 6
FCI Tallinn 0
Kalju 0
Levadia 1
Flora Tallinn U21 7
Tulevik 3
Kuressaare 0
Flora 7
Semi-finals
Narva 0
Levadia 5
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Flora 9
Final
Levadia 1
Flora 0
