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Lelle vs Tallinna Kalev - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga 2005
Lelle Logo

Lelle

3 - 4
FT
Tallinna Kalev Logo

Tallinna Kalev

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Esiliiga 2005 game between Lelle and Tallinna Kalev finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tallinna Kalev.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Lelle
20%
Draws
50%
Tallinna Kalev
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tallinna Kalev

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Tallinna Kalev carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Tallinna Kalev taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Tallinna Kalev have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Lelle Clean Sheet 10%
Tallinna Kalev Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lelle Tallinna Kalev
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 0 6
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 1.07 2.27
Goals Conceded 4.4 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 2.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2005 Esiliiga
Lelle vs Tallinna Kalev
3:4
Jul 23, 2005 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Lelle
4:0
Jul 5, 2005 Esiliiga
Lelle vs Tallinna Kalev
1:3
Mar 12, 2005 Esiliiga
Tallinna Kalev vs Lelle
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lelle 10 / 100
Tallinna Kalev 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lelle Tallinna Kalev

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tallinna Kalev Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Lelle's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Tallinna Kalev let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Lelle stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tallinna Kalev
0 Goals Scored 3.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Lelle

(Home)
20 Jul
Tulevik
26 : 0
Lelle
02 Sept
Pohja-Sakala
6 : 1
Lelle
07 Aug
Lelle
0 : 1
Tabasalu
20 Jun
Lelle
2 : 1
TransferWise
18 Jul
Tabasalu
6 : 0
Lelle
Page 1 of 6

Tallinna Kalev

(Away)
24 Sept
Elva
3 : 2
Tallinna Kalev
18 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
2 : 2
Flora Tallinn U21
13 Sept
Maardu Linnameeskond
:
Tallinna Kalev
10 Sept
Nomme Utd U21
2 : 1
Tallinna Kalev
05 Sept
Tallinna Kalev
1 : 1
Tartu JK Welco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Parnu Linnameeskond 36 26 6 4 92:39 84
2 Levadia U21 36 26 4 6 104:31 82
3 Lasnamae 36 23 8 5 111:30 77
4 Tallinna Kalev 36 18 9 9 85:71 63
5 Tervis Parnu 36 14 9 13 73:53 51
6 TVMK Tallinn II 36 12 5 19 51:80 41
7 Elva 36 10 6 20 42:71 36
8 Lelle 36 11 1 24 49:100 34
9 JK Jalgpallihaigla 36 9 4 23 38:100 31
10 Merkuur-Juunior 36 2 6 28 27:97 12
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2006 (Main)
Promotion - Meistriliiga 2005 (Relegation)