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Lemense vs Barretos EC

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

Match Events

84' Event
Wendel

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 game between Lemense and Barretos EC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barretos EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Lemense
35%
Draws
46%
Barretos EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Barretos EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lemense come out ahead of Barretos EC on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Lemense Clean Sheet 24%
Barretos EC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lemense Barretos EC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 7 12
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Paulista A4
Lemense vs Barretos EC
0:1
Feb 10, 2018 Paulista A3
Lemense vs Barretos EC
1:0
May 17, 2015 Paulista A3
Lemense vs Barretos EC
1:0
Apr 24, 2015 Paulista A3
Barretos EC vs Lemense
3:2
Apr 8, 2015 Paulista A3
Barretos EC vs Lemense
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lemense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Barretos EC Compare

Top Goalscorer Wendel
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lemense 37 / 100
Barretos EC 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lemense Barretos EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lemense found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Barretos EC let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Lemense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lemense VS Barretos EC
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lemense

(Home)
18 Apr
Inter de Bebedouro
2 : 0
Lemense
11 Apr
Lemense
0 : 2
Inter de Bebedouro
04 Apr
Lemense
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
28 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
Lemense
25 Mar
Lemense
0 : 0
Jabaquara
Page 1 of 6

Barretos EC

(Away)
19 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 0
Barretos EC
10 Apr
Barretos EC
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
04 Apr
Taquaritinga
2 : 0
Barretos EC
28 Mar
Barretos EC
1 : 0
Nacional SP
25 Mar
Penapolense
1 : 1
Barretos EC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter de Bebedouro 15 10 3 2 21:6 33
2 Sao Caetano 15 9 2 4 23:14 29
3 Penapolense 15 8 5 2 22:10 29
4 Sao-Carlense 15 7 5 3 20:13 26
5 Barretos EC 15 7 5 3 12:10 26
6 Taquaritinga 15 7 3 5 20:13 24
7 Jacarei FC 15 6 5 4 11:9 23
8 Lemense 15 6 4 5 14:12 22
9 ECUS SP 15 5 7 3 11:6 22
10 Comercial 15 6 2 7 17:16 20
11 Tanabi 15 4 6 5 12:10 18
12 Jabaquara 15 4 4 7 14:17 16
13 Vocem 15 3 6 6 12:13 15
14 Colorado Caieiras 15 1 7 7 6:20 10
15 Nacional SP 15 2 2 11 7:22 8
16 AEA Aracatuba 15 1 2 12 6:37 5
Promotion - Paulista A4 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paulista B (Main)