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Lemense vs Red Bull Brasil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Paulista A2 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Guilherme Santos
19' Event
Roldan
36'
Luis Gustavo

AI Match Summary

Lemense in this Campeonato Paulista A2 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lemense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Lemense
35%
Draws
46%
Red Bull Brasil
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Red Bull Brasil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Lemense have won more games recently than Red Bull Brasil.
  • Model gives Red Bull Brasil a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Lemense Clean Sheet 21%
Red Bull Brasil Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lemense Red Bull Brasil
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 0.9 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2022 Paulista A2
Lemense vs Red Bull Brasil
2:1
Apr 23, 2021 Paulista A2
Red Bull Brasil vs Lemense
1:2
Jan 22, 2020 Paulista A2
Lemense vs Red Bull Brasil
2:2
Apr 1, 2010 Paulista A3
Red Bull Brasil vs Lemense
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lemense Compare

Top Goalscorer Roldan
1 Goals
Assists Leader de Souza G. H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Red Bull Brasil Compare

Top Goalscorer Guilherme Santos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lemense 20 / 100
Red Bull Brasil 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lemense Red Bull Brasil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Red Bull Brasil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Red Bull Brasil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Lemense's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Lemense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lemense VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lemense

(Home)
18 Apr
Inter de Bebedouro
2 : 0
Lemense
11 Apr
Lemense
0 : 2
Inter de Bebedouro
04 Apr
Lemense
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
28 Mar
ECUS SP
2 : 0
Lemense
25 Mar
Lemense
0 : 0
Jabaquara
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Red Bull Brasil

(Away)
18 Mar
Red Bull Brasil
5 : 0
Barretos EC
11 Mar
Gremio Prudente
2 : 0
Red Bull Brasil
08 Mar
Capivariano
1 : 1
Red Bull Brasil
04 Mar
Red Bull Brasil
2 : 3
EC Sao Bernardo
01 Mar
Red Bull Brasil
1 : 1
Itapirense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portuguesa 15 9 5 1 22:6 32
2 Osasco Sporting 15 8 6 1 19:8 30
3 Piracicaba 15 7 5 3 18:10 26
4 Rio Claro 15 6 5 4 12:10 23
5 Velo Clube 15 6 4 5 18:17 22
6 Sao Bento 15 5 7 3 16:12 22
7 Linense 15 5 7 3 15:12 22
8 Primavera EC 15 5 7 3 15:15 22
9 Lemense 15 6 3 6 13:16 21
10 Juventus-SP 15 5 4 6 11:12 19
11 Sao Caetano 15 5 2 8 17:20 17
12 Monte Azul 15 4 4 7 10:19 16
13 Portuguesa Santista 15 3 7 5 12:11 16
14 Taubate 15 2 7 6 17:21 13
15 Audax-SP 15 2 5 8 13:25 11
16 Red Bull Brasil 15 1 4 10 12:26 7
Promotion - Campeonato Paulista A2 2022 (Play Offs)